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Djokovic Wins Record 7th ATP Finals Title by Beating Sinner in Straight Sets

Top-ranked Novak Djokovic has won a record-breaking seventh ATP Finals title with a straight-set victory over home favorite Jannik Sinner

Antonio Calanni

Serbia's Novak Djokovic kisses the trophy after winning the singles final tennis match of the ATP World Tour Finals at the Pala Alpitour, in Turin, Italy, Sunday, Nov. 19, 2023. (AP Photo/Antonio Calanni)

TURIN, Italy (AP) — Novak Djokovic ended the year just as he started it — by setting records.

The top-ranked Djokovic won a record-breaking seventh ATP Finals title on Sunday with a straight-set victory over home favorite Jannik Sinner.

Djokovic took 1 hour, 43 minutes to win 6-3, 6-3 as the Serbian continues to reach new heights at the age of 36.

He started 2023 with a record-extending 10th Australian Open title and went on to claim his 23rd Grand Slam singles trophy at the French Open, breaking Rafael Nadal's mark. Djokovic, who lost the Wimbledon final to Carlos Alcaraz, also won the U.S. Open .

“One of the best seasons I’ve had in my life, no doubt,” Djokovic said. “To crown it with a win against a hometown hero in Jannik, who has played amazing tennis this week, is phenomenal."

Djokovic entered Sunday's final tied with Roger Federer on six titles at the season-ending tournament for the year’s top eight players.

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And he stretched out his arms and beamed broadly after clinching his seventh when Sinner double-faulted.

The victory had echoes of the clinical way Djokovic dispatched second-ranked Carlos Alcaraz in Saturday's semifinal encounter.

“I’m very proud of the performances these last two days against Alcaraz and Sinner, probably the best two players in the world next to me and (Daniil) Medvedev at the moment, and the way they have been playing I had to step it up," Djokovic said.

“I had to win the matches and not wait for them to hand me the victory and that’s what I’ve done. I think I tactically played different today than I have in the group stage against Jannik, and just overall it was a phenomenal week.”

It was his fourth win over Sinner, who had recorded a first-ever victory against Djokovic in the group stage in Turin and was the first Italian to reach the final.

But Djokovic was in imperious form on Sunday and won 14 straight points from the end of the first set to the third game of the second to leave him firmly in control and subdue the Turin crowd.

Djokovic had already secured the year-end No. 1 ranking for a record-extending eighth time by winning his opening match at the ATP Finals.

After this tournament, Djokovic will become the first player to hold the No. 1 ranking for 400 weeks, with Roger Federer at 310 the only other man to eclipse the 300-week mark.

It was also only the second time in the last 15 years that a player has made the finals of all four Grand Slam tournaments and the ATP Finals. The only previous occasion was when Djokovic did it in 2015.

Sinner came into the final having won all of his matches in Turin and backed by a fervent home crowd, who had dreams of him becoming the first Italian to win the tournament in its 54-year history.

But the 22-year-old Sinner could offer little in response to a master class from Djokovic, especially in a blistering first set that lasted just 38 minutes and saw the Serbian win 20 of 22 service points. Djokovic also served up 13 aces during the match.

“Congratulations to you (Novak) for this week and not only: you started the season by winning and you ended it by winning, you won three Slams and many other tournaments,” Sinner said. “What else is there to say? You’re an inspiration not only for all those watching, but especially for the players.

“I also want to thank my team … we saw also today that I can still improve a lot but we can look at the positive things from this season. When we started the year I was one player and now I’m another. Thanks to you who have helped me understand so many things.”

AP Tennis: https://apnews.com/hub/tennis

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ATP World Tour Finals: Djokovic claims record seventh title – as it happened

Novak Djokovic claimed a record seventh ATP Finals title in Turin, defeating Jannik Sinner to round off a stratospheric season

• 19 Nov 2023 Djokovic beats Sinner! 6-3, 6-3
• 19 Nov 2023 Djokovic wins the first set v Sinner: 6-3
• 19 Nov 2023 Preamble

The greater the stakes , the greater the performance from Novak Djokovic . This has always been one of the key pillars of Djokovic’s success as he has swept up all significant titles in sight so many times over, and it has also been perfectly demonstrated throughout another triumphant week in Turin.

And that will be all from me. Thanks for reading, and congratulations to Novak Djokovic , who looks ominously fit, not to mention motivated to continue this dominance for the next few seasons. The way he played in the first set and a half simply left Sinner with no answer. Did Alcaraz’s Wimbledon win signal a changing of the guard? I don’t think so. Bye for now.

Djokovic has a chat with Henman on Amazon Prime: “I think I prepared myself very well for this match, for the atmosphere. I knew the place is going to go wild, it’s going to be very loud, the whole place supporting him. Obviously I knew that … but one thing is to know, and expect, and another is to actually experience.

“I think the match we had in the group stage really helped me prepare myself mentally and emotionally for what’s coming up … and I said yesterday, after the match against Alcaraz , I’ve been striking the ball really, really nicely. I’ve been feeling great on the court. And I’m very proud of this achievement – obviously, four out of five biggest trophies this year, after a very long season.

“Obviously, unpredictability … Not knowing whether I’m going to qualify for semis or not … thanks for Jannik, for allowing me to do that. And then I played arguably the two best matches. The circumstances of playing Alcaraz and Sinner – two best matches this year, no doubt. High, high level of tennis. I’m very thankful for another success.

“The match yesterday, and today – playing against the top players in the world, top rivals. Today, playing against the whole stadium as well, backing Jannik to win the trophy. He was in red-hot form, probably playing his best tennis … and I think I delivered when I needed to. I stayed tough. I had the better mentality. When I clinched the year world No 1 after beating Rune I kind of felt, you know, satisfied with that. I was not really fully into my remaining matches of the group. But luckily for me, I got the chance to be in the semis … and then when I got in the there I kind of switched on, you know, and delivered my A-game, no doubt.

“I feel great on the court, obviously I have to pick and choose and adjust my schedule a bit. I can’t play as much as I played maybe 10, 15 years ago. But when I play I try and bring my best game which I’ve been doing in the last few years.”

Hantuchova reckons Djokovic will win five more slams. (He has 24 now.) Rusedski thinks he’ll win four more: 28.

“I could see him playing for another three years,” says Henman. “The element that is out of his control is his speed of movement … when you get half a step slower, that is going to affect your game … I think he will play for three more years and maybe win two slams a year … I wouldn’t be surprised if he hits 30 majors. What he has achieved is truly remarkable.”

The Australian Open begins on 14 January 2024, so not long to wait for more tennis.

It appears that Sky Sports are taking on the rights for live tennis that Amazon Prime have had for the past several years.

It seems to be the end of the road for Amazon Prime’s tennis coverage. Catherine Whitaker, Tim Henman, Daniela Hantuchova and Greg Rusedski are reflecting on their five years working together … Tim Henman singles out Emma Raducanu’s US Open victory in 2021 as the high point. Mark Petchey drops in some banter about not being paid for any of the commentary he’s done in the past five years.

Djokovic speaks (translated from Italian): “Congratulations to Jannik, and to your team, even though I know it wasn’t the result you wanted today … to my team, thank you for helping me to get through this. I’m 36 now so things are a bit tougher. The work and dedication of my team is incredible … my family and my team give me joy and strength.

“Thanks [to the crowd] for the support I received, even if Jannik was your favourite … it’s very special to play in front of you, because of the pressure you bring.

And now in English: “I just want to thank all the people who don’t speak Italian. Thanks for following us through this very long season. For me it’s been a very successful one, one of the best I had in my career. We had a lot of tournaments played around the world … it’s amazing to see so many people supporting tennis. We are lucky to be a part of this wonderful sport. So thanks again and hopefully see you tomorrow … no, next year!”

“ Thank you very much everyone, ” Sinner says after a huge ovation from the crowd. “Good evening. Congratulations to Novak on everything you’ve won this season … you’re an inspiration, not only for everyone watching, but for all the players.

“Thanks to my team … we’ve made a lot of improvements … we had a chance to play against the best in the world, and we have to look at all the positive things we’ve done, this week and this season.

“I would like to thank the federation … in 2019 I played the [ATP Finals] NextGen, with a wildcard … a few years later to be here, at such a beautiful tournament … Thank you to all the sponsors and the umpires.

“And thanks to all of you [the crowd]. You looked after me like I was a little baby … and you gave me power … let’s see what happens next, we still have the Davis Cup.”

We’re ready for the presentations. Here’s Jannik Sinner! He shakes hands with the dignitaries on court and cracks a big smile, which is good to see. The crowd produce a huge cheer when he holds up his runner-up trophy.

Henman, on Amazon Prime , says that “was some of the best tennis I’ve ever seen” from Djokovic.

In the first set and a half, he was indeed untouchable. Sinner had no answer. And while there were a couple of unforced errors from Djokovic with the finish line in sight, Sinner still he had to show considerable resolve to avoid it being a complete walkover.

“ Djokovic is a champion ,” emails Simonetta Vallone. “But it was great to see this young Italian player give us all these emotions!”

“ Very special ,” says Djokovic on Amazon Prime in reacting to another victory. “One of the best seasons I’ve had in my life, and to crown it with a win against the hometown hero Jannik, who’s played such great tennis this week, it’s phenomenal.

“I’m very proud of these performances these last two days against the best two players in the world, Alcaraz and Sinner, next to me.”

“ Once again he showed us how powerful his mind is,” says the Amazon Prime pundit, Hantuchova, of Djokovic.

“It’s a hard lesson for him [Sinner] to learn today … He needs to improve his mind under pressure,” says Greg Rusedski alongside.

“He’ll be super proud … and he’ll so confident going into 2024,” adds Hantuchova of Sinner.

The story of that match , in a way, was how much character Sinner showed to at least slow the momentum of Djokovic, who started like a runaway train. Djokovic served with utter ruthlessness in that first set in particular – Sinner could not put any pressure on when he was returning. But anyway, that is Djokovic’s seventh ATP Finals title – he surpasses his old rival Roger Federer, who won six. He is out there on his own.

Djokovic beats Sinner! 6-3, 6-3

At 15-15 Sinner directs an ugly volley into the tramlines, not the sort of error you can afford when Djokovic can smell blood. Impressively, Sinner is back on it next up, spanking a clean ace down for 30-30. Another error from Sinner, though, and it’s championship point for the iconic Serb … And Sinner double faults, and that’s the lot!

*Sinner 3-6, 3-5 Djokovic (*denotes next server)

There are cracks appearing in the Djokovic game when it had previously looked close to perfect. He hits another volley long for 0-15. It’s soon 0-30, and there is tension in the air when some noise from the crowd causes Djokovic to stop his service action. Sinner dumps the next return tamely into the net, and then hits long, and Djokovic has wrestled it back to 30-30. Sinner errs wide again, with an arguably excessively high-tariff attempted winner, but at 40-30 some more accurate hitting from Sinner draws an error from his opponent, who nets from the baseline. Djokovic, nevertheless, rounds off the hold and Sinner has to serve to stay in this.

Sinner 3-6, 3-4 *Djokovic (*denotes next server)

That was a marathon. Djokovic misses what looks an easy volley, Sinner belts down an ace, and Sinner holds after a long, long battle! That was huge. Sinner is still in this - but only just. Can he exert any pressure on the Djokovic serve next up? The players sit down for a drink.

Sinner 3-6, 2-4 Djokovic (*denotes next server)

Sinner draws a round of applause from Djokovic when he pegs his opponent back to 15-15 after losing the first point. Sinner hits high and wide next up and his body language is suddenly indifferent at best, slumping his shoulders and picking at his racket. But he unloads an accurate forehand on the next point to bring it back to 30-30. A sweet ace down the middle and that’s 40-30, but again Sinner can’t press home his advantage, coughing up an error into the net for deuce.

Some determined defence keeps Sinner in the next point, before a somewhat mishit forehand loops over the net and in, leaving Djokovic motionless! A deuce battle ensues, with Sinner having a couple of looks at game point … The third one comes when a Sinner forehand sneaks over the net off the cord.

The deuce battle turns out to be lengthy indeed, with Djokovic fighting back against some accurate serving by Sinner, who has noticeably raised his game since that first set. And still the deuce battle goes on …

*Sinner 3-6, 2-4 Djokovic (*denotes next server)

Sinner, for the first time, has a glimmer on the Djokovic serve at 0-30. He aims down the line on the next point, going for the jugular, but veers out wide and that’s 15-30. The crowd is up, anyway, hoping the home favourite can get this break back … and they roar with delight when Djokovic hits wide next up! That’s 15-40! Do we have a ball game?

Djokovic serves up a booming wide serve that Sinner can’t get back. 30-40. Another chance for Sinner to break … the crowd yell out their encouragement even when Djokovic is about to serve. Sinner hits long, throwing away another precious break point, and gives it the double-handled teapot stance to show his disgust.

Djokovic, having been on the back foot on serve for the first time, rounds off the hold. Sinner goes to the corner of the court for his towel, and is visibly annoyed at having let that chance slip.

The Eiffel 65 classic “Blue” rings around the auditorium. It’s a classic in the sense it’s very old, anyway. Djokovic to serve again …

Sinner 3-6, 2-3 *Djokovic (*denotes next server)

A Djokovic forehand, fizzing down the line like a particularly well-directed firework, makes it 15-15. But Sinner keeps his head up and finds a way to win the game, eventually rounding it off with a cathartic smash. “A couple of very gritty holds,” says Petchey on commentary of Sinner’s recent efforts.

*Sinner 3-6, 1-3 Djokovic (*denotes next server)

Djokovic cracks an opening ace down the middle. Then one out wide. 30-0. Then down the middle. 40-0. Sinner has won two points against the Djokovic serve at this stage. It’s a quite phenomenal display of serving. Another big serve – Sinner gets the frame of his racket on this one – but the ball flies almost straight upwards. And that’s the game.

Sinner 3-6, 1-2 *Djokovic (*denotes next server)

It’s quickly 0-30, and Sinner is teetering. But he brings a roar from the crowd by ending a run of 14 points in a row for Djokovic with a well-struck forehand as his opponent tries to regain position in the centre of the court. Next up, there is a lengthy baseline exchange and Djokovic blinks first, sending the ball wide. Sinner pumps up the crowd, shaking his fist and demonstrating that he has not lost hope. But on the next point a fearsome forehand to the corner is simply too good from Djokovic. Sinner stretches for it as best he can but can only get the frame of his racket on the ball.

Break point Djokovic – Sinner wrestles it back to deuce – but more high-class hustle from the Serb earns him another break point. The Italian does remarkably well to commit to his shots despite being break point down. Djokovic tries to pass him down the line but the ball flicks off the net and out. Djokovic looks stunned! He soon has another break point, but Sinner battles with spirit yet again, earns himself a game point, and then thumps a big serve down the middle which wins him the game. He shakes his fist and roars. Could he find a way? Physically, Sinner has looked a bit off the pace, but perhaps he’s beginning to warm up?

*Sinner 3-6, 0-2 Djokovic (*denotes next server)

Another collection of top-drawer Djokovic serves to which Sinner simply has no answer. The love hold is sealed with a crisp ace out wide. Djokovic pumps his fist. Can he break his opponent again, next up?

Sinner 3-6, 0-1 *Djokovic (*denotes next server)

Uh-oh. Sinner falls a break down immediately in this second and potentially final set, and it’s a break to love. At 0-30 Sinner is distracted by some movement in the crowd when he’s about to serve. He then opts to challenge but the ball from his opponent is comfortably on the line. That’s 0-40. On the next rally it’s Djokovic who is in total control again – Sinner floats a backhand long – and the Serb is well on the road to victory here unless Sinner can stage some kind of spectacular recovery.

Djokovic wins the first set v Sinner: 6-3

Sinner puts up a fight on the first point, but Djokovic wins another attritional rally, and he roars and pumps his fist like he’s just won a grand slam. He’s up for this one. At 40-0 on Djokovic’s second serve, Sinner tries a spinning forehand but it drops wide. And that’s the first set. The straight-sets predictions are looking good right now. Djokovic is dominating, serving and returning with utter conviction and accuracy.

“The controlled aggression, the consistency, the power,” says Henman of Djokovic. “Sinner looked a little bit flat when he was down a break in that first set, but he’s got to retain his belief, which is easier said than done.”

“ Why did he beat Rune ?” asks Kevin Mulherrin. “It [throwing the game against Rune and eliminating Djokovic] would have been a perfectly valid tactic. The object is to win the tournament and beating Djokovic once is difficult enough but TWICE!

“Under similar circumstances I suspect Djokovic and a lot of other players would have been more calculating.”

Sinner 3-5 *Djokovic (*denotes next server)

Sinner fires a huge serve down the middle for 30-0, but misdirects a big forehand into the net for 30-15. Djokovic, unquestionably, is the player hitting the ball with more authority. Sinner fluffs a backhand from the baseline and it’s 30-30. Djokovic has yet to miss with a second-serve return, and he is exerting serious pressure on Sinner in every facet of the game. Still, the 22-year-old produces an excellent first serve for 40-15, then smacks an ace down the middle for the game. The crowd chant and cheer, but Djokovic can serve for the first set.

*Sinner 2-5 Djokovic (*denotes next server)

Djokovic has his game face on. A succession of pinpoint-accurate serves, and a clumsy mishit from Sinner, helps him to a love hold. Sinner has to serve to stay in the first set. At this rate Djokovic is going to make short work of this final. The players sit down for a drink, the DJ drops the latest rework of The Bomb! (These Sounds Fall into My Mind) by the Bucketheads.

Sinner 2-4 *Djokovic (*denotes next server)

Sinner makes it 15-0 with a solid wide serve and winner into the open court. Djokovic gifts him the next point, hitting into the net, and at 40-0 Sinner tries to crush a forehand winner, inside-out, but only finds the net. However, Djokovic hits long next up, and Sinner reduces his first-set deficit, still a break down.

*Sinner 1-4 Djokovic (*denotes next server)

The Djokovic forehand is like a sledgehammer. He’s hitting it with complete authority, and Sinner is very much being forced on to the back foot, furrowing his brow and wondering how he can get a foothold in this first set. At 30-15, Djokovic cracks an ace down the middle, and easily wins the next point after a brief rally to seal the game.

“Novak Djokovic, the immovable force,” says Mark Petchey on commentary. I think he means immovable object?

Sinner 1-3 *Djokovic (*denotes next server)

After an unreturnable serve for 15-0, Djokovic leans into a hugely powerful forehand that would make most players crumble, but Sinner bravely stays in the point. Having gained the upper hand the Serb eventually hits a clean winner for 15-15. Sinner then mixes things up beautifully, crushing a big serve for 30-15, then hitting a delightful drop shot for 40-15 that Djokovic applauds.

Sinner comes to the net and volleys for the game, but Djokovic has his measure and hits a brilliant lob to peg him back to 40-30. Sinner unloads from the baseline on the next point, but can only find the net, and it’s deuce … then there is a break in play as it seems someone’s mobile phone is going off in the crowd. There’s always one.

At deuce, a powerful rally from both players ends with Sinner hitting long – it looks in – the Italian decides not to challenge, but Hawkeye indicates it did indeed clip the line. Oh well – Sinner coughs up an unforced error next up, hitting wide with another attempted big hit – and Djokovic is a break up.

*Sinner 1-2 Djokovic (*denotes next server)

At 30-0, Djokovic whips a powerful backhand wide – a sloppy error by his exacting standards. He’s back on it on the next point, bending an ace beyond the reach of Sinner for 40-15. The Italian is wayward with his next return, sending it wide, and that’s another easy enough hold for Djokovic. Time for a drink and a tune or two from the in-house DJ.

Sinner 1-1 *Djokovic (*denotes next server)

Whoah. There’s a helluva rally on the first point of Sinner’s service game. Sinner looks to have hit a winner cross-court, after a lengthy exchange from the baseline, but Djokovic hunts it down and returns with interest. Sinner holds on for 15-0. But the Serb is striking the ball imperiously. Djokovic hits long – 30-0 – then Sinner flops a shot into the net from the baseline for 30-15. Sinner thumps a massive wide serve for 40-15 which Djokovic, somehow, gets a racket on, but Djokovic hauls him back to 40-30. A lovely drop shot by Sinner seals the game and he pumps his fist, relieved to have avoided a deuce battle with his tenacious opponent.

*Sinner 0-1 Djokovic (*denotes next server)

A solid first serve down the middle sets up Djokovic to win the first point of the match. Then an ace, and it’s quickly 30-0, and another ace shaped out wide for 40-0. Sinner manages to get into a rally on second serve at 40-0, but is never really in the point, and that’s a very strong hold for Djokovic to kick things off.

“ I don’t think this is going to be a straight-sets match, I think this is going the distance,” says Greg Rusedski. “Today’s going to be a lot about belief. How much does Jannik Sinner really believe he can beat Novak Djokovic ?”

“ For me, I just think Djokovic is going to be a different animal,” says Tim Henman, court-side for Amazon Prime. “I think he’s going to find that way to play a little bit better and get across the line.”

Henman adds he thinks it’ll be Djokovic in straight sets, and Hantuchova agrees.

Sinner’s out on court first , bouncing up and down on his toes, shaking hands with the officials, all that jazz. Djokovic soon joins him. The Serb wins the toss and elects to serve first. Time for a quick photo and we are ready to go.

Here come the players. The young Italian, ranked No 4, is out first.

Are you a Sinner, or are you a winner? Maybe he can be both.

And now here’s Djokovic, walking out to suitably dramatic music.

Here we go, then. Well nearly. The Amazon Prime coverage has fired up, and the pundits are having a chat. “If he stays injury free, he should be lifting a grand slam next year,” says Daniela Hantuchova of Sinner’s progress.

My prediction is that this will definitely go to three sets.

In doubles news , Rajeev Ram and Joe Salisbury retained their ATP Finals title earlier on, beating Marcel Granollers and Marc Ceballos 6-3, 6-4 in the final.

TITLE DEFENDED 🏆🛡️ @RajeevRam & @joesalisbury92 are the best of the best in Turin, powering past Granollers/Zeballos 6-3, 6-4! #NittoATPFinals pic.twitter.com/1dtsdVa04s — ATP Tour (@atptour) November 19, 2023

Andy Murray has been forced to withdraw from the Davis Cup and end his season after suffering a shoulder injury in training. He had been training at the National Tennis Centre this week and preparing for the final event of the year when he suffered the injury. Great Britain face Serbia on Thursday in Málaga at the Final 8 knockout stage of the Davis Cup finals.

Forget the tennis. A much bigger match will take place in Wimbledon next week as the All England Lawn Tennis Club takes on another local council over its plan to build an 8,000-seat stadium on a Grade II*-listed park .

The AELTC will on Tuesday night attempt to convince Wandsworth’s planning committee to vote through its proposal to build the 10-storey show court and 38 other grass courts on Wimbledon Park. Campaigners have described the proposals as an “industrial tennis complex”.

“ I predict Sinner to win ,” emails Abdul. “He has the momentum.”

After losing the semi-final, Medvedev predicted that Sinner – if he keeps up this form – will become world No 1 and win multiple grand slams. So perhaps Medvedev would agree with you, Abdul.

Then again, it’s Djokovic isn’t it? I didn’t see the semi-finals but it sounds like he fairly blew Alcaraz off the court.

For me, a tough one to call, but a match that both players will want to win. More searing insight coming up soon.

Will Sinner repeat the feat of earlier in the week and beat Djokovic a second time? Or will the Serb grind his precocious opponent into the dust? You can email me with your predictions.

This final, by the way, is best of three sets, just like all the other matches in the tournament.

Djokovic, it is fair to say , was not a happy customer on Thursday afternoon after he beat the alternate, Hubert Hurkacz, in three sets. The dropped set meant that qualification was put out of his hands and he proceeded to give some distinctly snippy post-match interviews. But it turned out all right when Rune was defeated by Sinner later that night.

The tale of the tape : Djokovic leads Sinner 3-1 in their head-to-head.

Djokovic won at the Monte Carlo Masters in 2021, in two sets, then at Wimbledon in 2022 and 2023. The quarter-final in 2022 was a five-setter when Djokovic hit back from two sets down in typically tenacious style. The semi-final this year was in straight sets.

But Sinner, of course, had Djokovic’s number earlier this week, which is what makes today’s match so fascinating.

Australia have just beaten India by six wickets to win the ODI Cricket World Cup!

Novak Djokovic has today’s opponent, Jannik Sinner, to thank for the fact he’s still here. Following the Serb’s group stage defeat by the Italian , Djokovic would have been eliminated had Holger Rune beaten Sinner on Thursday night.

As things turned out the home favourite won in three, which meant Djokovic joined him, Daniil Medvedev and Carlos Alcaraz in the semi-finals of this season-closing event in northern Italy. Djokovic blew away Alcaraz (the man who beat him in an epic Wimbledon final ) while the Russian, Medvedev, was dispatched by the increasingly confident Sinner.

Which brings us to today’s final. Djokovic already has the Australian Open, French Open and US Open in the trophy cabinet this year. Can the world No 4 find a way past the irrepressible Serb and prompt a smattering of erroneous ‘changing of the guard’ headlines? We’re about to find out.

Match start: 5pm UK time

• Novak Djokovic

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ATP Finals: Novak Djokovic beats Jannik Sinner to win record seventh title

Novak Djokovic – who won the ATP Finals previously in 2008, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015 and 2022 – has now eclipsed the record of six titles he shared with Roger Federer; following his 6-3 6-3 triumph over Jannik Sinner, the Serb said he wants a 'Golden Slam' in 2024

Monday 20 November 2023 07:58, UK

Novak Djokovic defeated home favourite Jannik Sinner at the ATP World Tour Finals in Turin to win the title for a record seventh time.

A ruthless Djokovic saw off Sinner in front of a passionate crowd, winning 6-3 6-3 to seal victory, after previously having lost to the Italian in the round-robin section of the competition.

Following his victory, the 36-year-old told reporters that he is eyeing a clean sweep of the majors next year as well as the singles gold medal at the Paris Olympics, to claim a 'Golden Slam'.

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Steffi Graf is the only player to have achieved the feat before, winning the Australian, French and US Opens, Wimbledon and a gold medal at the Seoul Olympics in 1988.

"You can win four slams and an Olympic gold," Djokovic said. "I have always the highest ambitions and goals. That's not going to be different for the next year.

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"The drive that I have is still there. My body has been serving me well, listening to me well. I have a great team of people around me.

"Motivation, especially for the biggest tournaments in sport, is still present. It still inspires me to keep going."

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The 24-time Grand Slam winner said he was "very, very proud" of his season. "Four out of five tournaments... I couldn't ask for more to be honest," he added.

"It's a great reward for what my team and I have been through this year, being one of the most successful years in my career that I've ever had."

Djokovic breezes by Sinner to break ATP Finals record

Djokovic asserted his control early in Sunday's ATP Tour showpiece against Sinner, producing a near faultless opening set – dropping just two points on serve – as he added yet another milestone to his incredible career.

The world No 1, who first won the tournament in 2008, now stands alone having won the title seven times, beating the record of six titles he previously shared with Roger Federer.

Throughout the second set, the Serb kept the foot on the accelerator, breaking Sinner in the opening service game and refused to let up despite some spirited resistance from the 22-year-old.

At one point Djokovic won 14 points in a row against a player ranked fourth in the world before Sinner briefly slowed the march of the 24-time Grand Slam champion.

🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆 @DjokerNole masters Sinner 6-3, 6-3 to capture a record SEVENTH #NittoATPFinals title! pic.twitter.com/329PwngtWt — ATP Tour (@atptour) November 19, 2023

Sinner avoided going a double break of serve down as Djokovic surprisingly failed to make a passing shot and Sinner then had points to break back in the sixth game but could not convert either of them.

Djokovic also failed to convert break points that would have given him a 5-2 lead as a few errors crept into his game.

The crowd tried their best to energise their man but Djokovic moved on towards victory and a Sinner double fault ended the contest. Djokovic moves past Federer to stand alone as the most successful player in the tournament's history.

His win concludes a year in which he won three of the four Grand Slam titles and seized back the world No 1 spot from Carlos Alcaraz and worryingly for the chasing pack he will head into 2024 looking as dominant as ever.

Brit Salisbury and partner Ram defend doubles title

Joe Salisbury and Rajeev Ram defended their ATP World Tour Finals men's doubles crown in style as they beat Marcel Granollers and Horacio Zeballos 6-3 6-4 in just over an hour.

The American-British extended their winning streak inside the Pala Alpitour to 10 matches after a blistering end to the year, which was sparked by the pair's triumph at Flushing Meadows as they claimed a third successive US Open title.

Since the first round in New York, they have won 17 of 19 matches – winning another tournament in Vienna along the way – and the sixth seeds certainly played like a team full of confidence on Sunday.

A Ram return winner against Granollers' serve on a deciding point clinched the only break of the first set in the fourth game, and they broke through against the Spaniard's delivery again for a 4-3 lead in the second before serving out for victory.

Salisbury said: "I think we've got better throughout the week. I think that was our best match, maybe along with the semi-final yesterday. I think we've served well and not got broken many times. We did that really well and managed to take the few chances we had today. I think we got a little bit of luck as well, but it seems like we get it in this place.

"We definitely didn't have a great first half of the year, and sometimes you need a bit of a shock, some tough times, to kind of kick you into gear and get you back to knowing what you were doing well, and how you were winning. We managed to do that and we've kept it going for a little bit, which is nice."

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Djokovic wins record 7th ATP Finals title

Turin, Italy — Novak Djokovic ended the year just as he started it — by setting records.

The top-ranked Djokovic won a record-breaking seventh ATP Finals title on Sunday with a straight-set victory over home favorite Jannik Sinner.

Djokovic took 1 hour, 43 minutes to win 6-3, 6-3 as the Serbian continues to reach new heights at the age of 36.

He started 2023 with a record-extending 10th Australian Open title and went on to claim his 23rd Grand Slam singles trophy at the French Open, breaking Rafael Nadal's mark. Djokovic, who lost the Wimbledon final to Carlos Alcaraz, also won the U.S. Open.

"One of the best seasons I've had in my life, no doubt," Djokovic said. "To crown it with a win against a hometown hero in Jannik, who has played amazing tennis this week, is phenomenal."

Djokovic entered Sunday's final tied with Roger Federer on six titles at the season-ending tournament for the year's top eight players.

And he stretched out his arms and beamed broadly after clinching his seventh when Sinner double-faulted.

The victory had echoes of the clinical way Djokovic dispatched second-ranked Carlos Alcaraz in Saturday's semifinal encounter.

"I'm very proud of the performances these last two days against Alcaraz and Sinner, probably the best two players in the world next to me and (Daniil) Medvedev at the moment, and the way they have been playing I had to step it up," Djokovic said.

"I had to win the matches and not wait for them to hand me the victory and that's what I've done. I think I tactically played different today than I have in the group stage against Jannik, and just overall it was a phenomenal week."

It was his fourth win over Sinner, who had recorded a first-ever victory against Djokovic in the group stage in Turin and was the first Italian to reach the final.

But Djokovic was in imperious form on Sunday and won 14 straight points from the end of the first set to the third game of the second to leave him firmly in control and subdue the Turin crowd.

Djokovic had already secured the year-end No. 1 ranking for a record-extending eighth time by winning his opening match at the ATP Finals.

After this tournament, Djokovic will become the first player to hold the No. 1 ranking for 400 weeks, with Roger Federer at 310 the only other man to eclipse the 300-week mark.

It was also only the second time in the last 15 years that a player has made the finals of all four Grand Slam tournaments and the ATP Finals. The only previous occasion was when Djokovic did it in 2015.

Sinner came into the final having won all of his matches in Turin and backed by a fervent home crowd, who had dreams of him becoming the first Italian to win the tournament in its 54-year history.

But the 22-year-old Sinner could offer little in response to a master class from Djokovic, especially in a blistering first set that lasted just 38 minutes and saw the Serbian win 20 of 22 service points. Djokovic also served up 13 aces during the match.

"Congratulations to you (Novak) for this week and not only: you started the season by winning and you ended it by winning, you won three Slams and many other tournaments," Sinner said. "What else is there to say? You're an inspiration not only for all those watching, but especially for the players.

"I also want to thank my team … we saw also today that I can still improve a lot but we can look at the positive things from this season. When we started the year I was one player and now I'm another. Thanks to you who have helped me understand so many things."

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Djokovic matches Federer’s record with 6th ATP Finals title

Serbia’s Novak Djokovic poses with his trophy after defeating Norway’s Casper Ruud 7-5, 6-3, in the singles final tennis match to win the ATP World Tour Finals at the Pala Alpitour, in Turin, Italy, Sunday, Nov. 20, 2022. (AP Photo/Antonio Calanni)

Serbia’s Novak Djokovic celebrates after defeating Norway’s Casper Ruud 7-5, 6-3, in their singles final tennis match of the ATP World Tour Finals at the Pala Alpitour, in Turin, Italy, Sunday, Nov. 20, 2022. (AP Photo/Antonio Calanni)

Norway’s Casper Ruud holds his second lace trophy after losing 7-5, 6-3, to Serbia’s Novak Djokovic in their singles final tennis match of the ATP World Tour Finals at the Pala Alpitour, in Turin, Italy, Sunday, Nov. 20, 2022. (AP Photo/Antonio Calanni)

Serbia’s Novak Djokovic and Norway’s Casper Ruud, right, poses with their trophies after the singles final tennis match of the ATP World Tour Finals at the Pala Alpitour, in Turin, Italy, Sunday, Nov. 20, 2022. Djokovic defeated Ruud 7-5, 6-3. (AP Photo/Antonio Calanni)

Norway’s Casper Ruud reacts during his singles final tennis match of the ATP World Tour Finals against Serbia’s Novak Djokovic at the Pala Alpitour, in Turin, Italy, Sunday, Nov. 20, 2022. (AP Photo/Antonio Calanni)

Serbia’s Novak Djokovic reacts after scoring a point against Norway’s Casper Ruud during their singles final tennis match of the ATP World Tour Finals at the Pala Alpitour, in Turin, Italy, Sunday, Nov. 20, 2022. (AP Photo/Antonio Calanni)

Serbia’s Novak Djokovic hits a forehand to Norway’s Casper Ruud during their singles final tennis match of the ATP World Tour Finals at the Pala Alpitour, in Turin, Italy, Sunday, Nov. 20, 2022. (AP Photo/Antonio Calanni)

Norway’s Casper Ruud hits a forehand to Serbia’s Novak Djokovic during their singles final tennis match of the ATP World Tour Finals at the Pala Alpitour, in Turin, Italy, Sunday, Nov. 20, 2022. (AP Photo/Antonio Calanni)

Serbia’s Novak Djokovic returns with a backhand to Norway’s Casper Ruud during their singles final tennis match of the ATP World Tour Finals at the Pala Alpitour, in Turin, Italy, Sunday, Nov. 20, 2022. (AP Photo/Antonio Calanni)

Serbia’s Novak Djokovic celebrates with his son after defeating Norway’s Casper Ruud 7-5, 6-3, in their singles final tennis match of the ATP World Tour Finals at the Pala Alpitour, in Turin, Italy, Sunday, Nov. 20, 2022. (AP Photo/Antonio Calanni)

Serbia’s Novak Djokovic celebrates with his daughter after defeating Norway’s Casper Ruud 7-5, 6-3, in their singles final tennis match of the ATP World Tour Finals at the Pala Alpitour, in Turin, Italy, Sunday, Nov. 20, 2022. (AP Photo/Antonio Calanni)

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TURIN, Italy (AP) — Novak Djokovic claimed a record-equaling sixth ATP Finals title by beating the third-seeded Casper Ruud on Sunday to top a fantastic finish to the season for the Serb.

Djokovic won 7-5, 6-3 to secure his first title at the event since 2015 and match Roger Federer’s record.

The 35-year-old Djokovic, who had lost his two previous finals at the event, raised his arms out and smiled broadly after sealing the match with an ace.

“Seven years has been a long time,” Djokovic said. “At the same time, the fact that I waited seven years makes this victory even sweeter and even bigger.

“A lot of nerves ... I missed a couple of forehands in the last game when I was serving for it. I had nerves, but I am really grateful to be able to serve the match out. I had a big ace to close out.”

Djokovic became the oldest champion at the prestigious year-end tournament and also earned the largest payday in tennis history as he walked away with $4.7 million for claiming the ATP Finals trophy undefeated.

“I made him run, made him play,” Djokovic said. “I was looking to be very aggressive and it worked great. I am really pleased with the performance.”

It was Ruud’s fourth defeat in a major championship match this year after also losing finals at Miami, Roland Garros and the U.S. Open. Ruud has never won a set against Djokovic in four meetings.

“In the end it’s been disappointing to end up losing these big finals,” Ruud said. “Overall, if you gave me an offer to end the year at No. 3, play the finals that I’ve played, at the 1st of January this year I would probably sign the contract right away. No doubt about it.

“It gives me motivation and a hunger to maybe next time — if I ever get to another final like this — I hope I can learn from what I have done this year and not been able to do and see how it goes.”

Djokovic started strongly in Turin and had two break points in Ruud’s very first service game. The Norwegian managed to recover although he was also forced to save another break point in the eighth game.

Djokovic finally broke Ruud’s serve at the fourth time of asking. And it was at a crucial moment, on set point, and he ecstatically pumped his fist in the air after Ruud sent a backhand long.

The seventh-seeded Djokovic broke again in the fourth game of the second set and there was no way back for Ruud.

Djokovic has ended the year with an 18-1 record after winning trophies in Tel Aviv and Astana before reaching the Paris Masters final. His five titles this season also include triumphs at Wimbledon and in Rome.

And his coach, former second-ranked Goran Ivanisevic, had a stark warning for Djokovic’s rivals.

“He’s practicing even harder than when he was 22,” Ivanisevic said. “That’s why he’s still so good and that’s why he’s still going to be even better.”

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TENIS | ATP FINALS

¿Cuánto dinero en premios y puntos se reparten en las ATP Finals?

Las atp finals son el cierre de la temporada de la atp world tour. como cada año, ya se han dado a conocer los premios y puntos que se repartirán los tenistas..

Las Nitto ATP Finals ya están en juego. Este campeonato, conocido como el ‘ Torneo de Maestros’ , se lleva a cabo este 2022 del 13 al 20 de noviembre. En dicha competencia, las mejores raquetas del circuito profesional se medirán para determinar al campeón del torneo, uno de los más prestigiosos del mundo del tenis. En esta ocasión, Rafa Nadal representará a España, aunque no ha arrancado de la mejor manera, ya que perdió en su estreno ante Fritz.

El manacorí busca ganar uno de los pocos torneos que todavía no ha ganado a lo largo de su carrera deportiva. La lesión del número uno del mundo, Carlos Alcaraz , ha impedido que los aficionados pudieran presenciar uno de los duelos más destacados de los últimos tiempos. Además, cabe mencionar que si Nadal consigue la victoria en el campeonato, podría auparse al liderato del ranking. No solo eso, ya que ganar el ‘ Torneo de Maestros’ conlleva hacerse con suculentos premios, tanto deportivos como económicos.

Un suculento premio por ganar el torneo

Uno de los puntos más interesantes que hay que abordar sobre este torneo tiene que ver con los premios económicos que pueden percibir los jugadores que disputan el campeonato. El Pala Altipour de Turín es el escenario en el que se disputarán los encuentros del ‘ Torneo de Maestros’ , y, en dicho lugar, el tenista que gane, y lo haga de forma invicta, recibirá una cantidad nada desdeñable.

En esta ocasión, según la organización, el campeón del torneo logrará un premio de 4.470.300 $. Mientras, si se consigue el triunfo final, aunque no de forma invicta, se embolsará una cantidad de 2.200.400 dólares. Esto se reduce de forma considerable si el logro obtenido es ganar en semifinales, ya que la cantidad a percibir es de 1.070.000 dólares.

De esta forma, y de acuerdo con los datos aportados por la organización, los premios económicos han quedado configurados de la siguiente manera:

• Reserva: 150.000 $
• Fijo por participar: 320.000 $
• Triunfo en fase de grupos: 383.300 $
• Triunfo en semifinales: 1.070.000 $
• Triunfo en la final: 2.200.400 $
• Campeón de manera invicta: 4.470.300 $

Un fijo por participación, en juego

También se debe mencionar la existencia de un fijo por participación individual. En esta edición, las cantidades que percibirán los tenistas dependen de los partidos que disputen en Turín:

• 1 partido: 160.000 $
• 2 partidos: 240.000 $
• 3 partidos: 320.000 $

Los puntos, otro de los alicientes del campeonato

No solo de premios económicos viven los jugadores. Todos los participantes quieren escalar posiciones en el ranking ATP , que mide a los mejores tenistas del planeta. Ante la ausencia del número uno, Carlos Alcaraz , los presentes en Turín , empezando por Rafa Nadal, están a la espera de poder acercarse e incluso, en algunos casos, poder superar al murciano al frente del circuito profesional.

De esta forma, ha quedado configurado el reparto de puntos para la vigente edición del ‘ Torneo de Maestros’ , de acuerdo con lo establecido por la organización del campeonato:

• Triunfo en la fase de grupos: 200
• Triunfo en semifinales: 400
• Triunfo en la final: 500
• Campeón de forma invicta: 1.500

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'One of the best' - Djokovic says 2023 up there with his greatest seasons

22/12/2023 at 07:21

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17/11/2023 at 17:05

Who has won the ATP Tour finals the most times?

At the end of each calendar year, the curtain comes down on another action-packed season at the ATP Tour Finals. With every major prize handed out, with four more Grand Slam winners crowned, eight men battle it out for the right to finish on the highest of highs.

Emerge victorious in the last event of the campaign and the winter break will feel a little more festive for those able to place another shiny memento on the mantelpiece. All of the hard work that has gone before will feel worth it if feet can be put up with another title added to the collection.

It will not take long for attention to turn towards the start of another quest for honours, with the latest tennis odds favouring 6/4 shot Novak Djokovic, 11/4 Daniil Medvedev and 7/1 Rafael Nadal to go well at the 2023 Australian Open. When it comes to tennis tips today , the cream will always rise to the top.

There is one more major hurdle to clear before then, though, with many a legacy enhanced at the ATP Tour Finals. Who, though, has collected that particular prize the most throughout the years?

Roger Federer

The end of an era, merci Roger ❤️ @rogerfederer | #RForever pic.twitter.com/QwnRERud0p — ATP Tour (@atptour) September 23, 2022

The winner of eight Slams as a player, before going on to help Andy Murray break his duck in that department as a coach, Lendl often saved his best for the big occasion. The enigmatic Czech was a force to be reckoned with throughout the 1980s, winning five Tour Finals titles – including a run of three in a row between 1985 and 1987.

Pete Sampras

There was a time when Sampras’ achievements at the highest level appeared set to earn him standing at the top of any winners list. The classy American has been nudged down that particular chart, but few can claim to have matched his exploits at the ATP Tour Finals – with five successes enjoyed between 1991 and 1999.

A man that can appear invincible when performing at the peak of his powers, Djokovic will believe that he is not done yet when it comes to the ATP Tour Finals. He opened his account in that department back in 2008 and enjoyed a faultless run of four triumphs between 2012 and 2015. The iconic Serb could easily top this chart by the time he heads into retirement.

Ilie Nastase

Another mercurial talent that actually won more Tour Finals than he did Grand Slam titles. Nastase triumphed at the French and US Opens, but it was at the end of any given season that he really burst into life, claiming the last trophy of the year in 1971, 1972, 1973 and 1975.

It may come as some surprise to find that Rafael Nadal – the most successful player in the history of men’s tennis – has never won the ATP Tour finals. He will be competing in that event for the 17th time in 2022, with the Spanish superstar getting another shot at adding his name to a roll of honour that feels slightly incomplete without him.

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About the Author / Tim Farthing

Tim Farthing, Tennishead Editorial Director & Owner, has been a huge tennis fan his whole life. He's a tennis journalist and entrepreneur as well as playing tennis to a national standard. He also helps manage his local club and volunteers for his local tennis organisation. He's a specialist in content about the administration of professional tennis and tennis coaching for all levels.

ATP World Tour Finals breakdown

The final eight are ready to do battle at the season-ending World Tour Finals this week in London. The field is divided into two round-robin groups, with the two most successful players from each group advancing to the semifinals. Group A consists of Rafael Nadal , David Ferrer , Tomas Berdych and Stanislas Wawrinka . Group B consists of Novak Djokovic , Juan Martin del Potro , Roger Federer and Richard Gasquet .

They're coming fresh -- or not-so-fresh -- off last week's Paris Masters, where all eight also made the quarterfinals. That means some familiar matchups are in store over the next few days. Four of the round-robin encounters will be rematches from last week. Here's how each looks entering the event.

Rafael Nadal

Why he'll win: Who's won more than Nadal this season? The Spaniard has won a tour-leading 10 titles this season and has a 71-6 record since returning in February after a seven-month injury layoff. He's also been dominant on the hard courts (outdoors, anyway), and his head-to-head against the rest of the field at this event is 20-4 this year. If he plays the way he did against Richard Gasquet in the quarterfinals of Paris last week, it's hard to see anyone stopping him.

Why he won't : Where hasn't Nadal won so far in his career? This is one of the few places -- his best result was a final in 2010. There are no big reasons that can't change this year, but there are a few small ones. There's the time of year -- Nadal has only twice lifted a trophy after the US Open is over. There are the conditions -- Nadal has only once won a title indoors. And there's the location -- with his first-round loss at Wimbledon, Nadal is currently 0-1 in Britain. That last one isn't much to go on, but after the year he's had, the others will take what they can get.

His amazing season, however, may finally be starting to catch up to him. He's just 3-3 against the rest of the field since the US Open. Novak Djokovic, his biggest rival, looks much more comfortable at the moment, and the other players will also feel they have a better chance because of the quicker, lower-bouncing court and the struggles Nadal has had at this tournament. If he plays the way he did while losing to David Ferrer in the semifinals of Paris -- a day after beating Gasquet -- it's hard to see him lifting the trophy.

Novak Djokovic

Why he'll win: Unlike Nadal, Djokovic tends to do well at this time of year and is coming in 17-0 since the US Open. He's also the defending champion at this event and is 15-4 against the rest of the tournament field this season. Perhaps most importantly, the Serb has also started turning the tables on Nadal. He's lost two of their three hard-court meetings this year, but won their last encounter in Beijing and should benefit from the indoor conditions at the O2 arena if the two meet again this week.

Why he won't: Winning is good, but it can also be tiring. Djokovic has racked up a lot of matches since the US Open, and has just a day off between playing the final in Paris and his first round-robin match. And his season doesn't even end there. Serbia takes on the Czech Republic in the Davis Cup final next week, and the patriotic Djokovic will want to be fit and prepared to play in front of his hometown crowds. There's also the slight prospect of taking the No. 1 ranking from Nadal to think about, though Djokovic says the chances are so small that he's more focused on gaining ground for next year. All this added pressure, together with all the matches he's played coming in, could start to have an effect as the week goes on.

David Ferrer

Why he'll win: Everyone's got a chance, right? And those chances look a lot better after he defeated Nadal last week to score his biggest win of the season. His results had dropped off since reaching the French Open final, but last week's run suggests the 31-year-old may be ready for another charge. Though Ferrer is at his best on clay, he's shown his indoor credentials by winning the Paris Masters last year and reaching the final again this year, this time on the same surface that will be used in London. He makes players beat him, and outgrinding Ferrer isn't an easy ask at this point in a long and winding season.

Why he won't: This tournament is about beating top players, and that's Ferrer's sticking point. His record against everyone else at this event is 3-9 this season, and two of those wins -- Nadal and Berdych -- came last week. He's also worried about having less rest after reaching the final in Paris, noting that Nadal will have had one more day off when the two meet again in their first round-robin match. He has a shot at the semis after beating everyone in his round-robin group at some point during the season. But getting more wins against the field this week than he has all year? It's a tall order.

Juan Martin del Potro

Why he'll win: When del Potro gets going, he and his gigantic forehand are tough to stop. Beating Djokovic, Andy Murray and then taking Nadal to three sets, as del Potro did in Indian Wells, may be the best showing by anyone this season apart from those three themselves. And the 2009 US Open champion has also been in good form recently, defeating Nadal in Shanghai and beating Federer to win Basel two weeks ago.

Why he won't: Del Potro may get going, but hasn't been able to keep going for very long. His Indian Wells was followed by an opening-round loss in Miami, not helped by some family distraction back home. A good run at Wimbledon and the hard-court season culminated in an early loss to Lleyton Hewitt at the US Open. He's played a lot of matches in the past two months, making fatigue a possible concern. And while on his way to London, del Potro had his personal belongings stolen, which again could leave him unsettled coming into this week.

Tomas Berdych

Why he'll win: (Long pause.) Maybe he's saving his best for last? The Czech with big firepower has been underwhelming most of this year but did manage to lead the Czechs back to the Davis Cup final. With the tie against the Serbs coming up next week, maybe he can find inspiration a few days early. And if there's any advantage to losing in the first round of Basel and playing only three matches in Paris last week -- like Berdych, Gasquet and Wawrinka all did -- it's that they come in a bit more rested.

Why he won't: He's the only member of the top 10 not to win a title this year and is 2-10 against the rest of the field in London. Though he's got the game to beat anyone, Berdych hasn't capitalized on a lot of opportunities he's had this year, like playing a tired Djokovic in the Australian Open quarterfinals or facing a tired Nadal after beating Djokovic in the Rome quarterfinals. As a result, he doesn't seem confident enough to suddenly start scoring win after win against the top guys this week.

Roger Federer

Why he'll win: After a tough season, he's finally starting to resemble his old self. Federer made the final of his hometown tournament in Basel two weeks ago, losing to del Potro, and then beat del Potro last week before losing his semifinal to Djokovic in three sets. In the process, the pieces of his game have begun coming together over the past week -- better movement, more consistent first serve, more effective returns. If he can keep that momentum going, the 17-time Grand Slam champ could quickly become very dangerous. He's won his event six times and the conditions at the O2 arena suit his game well.

Why he won't: Though Federer is playing better, he's still making uncharacteristic errors at important moments. That's a sign his confidence has not yet fully returned, and those types of mistakes are especially costly against the elite players. His win against del Potro in Paris last week was just his second top-10 win of the year (and the other came all the way back at the Australian Open), showing how far he's been from the upper reaches for most of the season.

Stanislas Wawrinka

Why he'll win: Wawrinka has given Djokovic all he can handle at two Grand Slams this year, which means he can stay on the court with anyone at this point. Qualifying for his first Tour Finals has given him a big boost, and he should be able to play freely after exceeding his expectations for this season. Just like his more famous compatriot, Wawrinka struggles against Nadal and finds himself in the same round-robin group as the Spaniard. Still, he feels he might have a shot at beating the No.1 on this surface because Nadal's topspin won't trouble him as much.

Why he won't: Despite some big improvements, Wawrinka's season has still been more notable for good losses rather than good wins. His results have also tailed off since reaching the US Open semifinals, and he lost fairly tamely to Djokovic in Paris last week. He still struggles with self-belief on big occasions, and it's a big jump to now go and win this tournament.

Richard Gasquet

Why he'll win: Gasquet is having arguably his best season yet, and certainly his best since 2007. His shot-making talent stands out even in this field, and he's now physically stronger and competing better. It's not unusual to see players now start hitting their stride at 27, and he could well be one of them.

Why he won't: He's scored some good wins against the likes of Ferrer and Berdych and won three small titles, but hasn't made a dent against Nadal or Djokovic (or Murray) when he's run into them. Going from that to winning most of his matches against the top eight this week? That's a long way away.