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Scottie Scheffler leads the PGA Tour in this putting stat. Here’s what it does and doesn’t reveal

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Gregory Shamus

Wait, that doesn’t sound right . Even if you’re a casual golf fan, you’re likely aware of Scottie Scheffler’s struggles on the greens this year and wondering if we have a typo in the headline. During a season in which he leads the PGA Tour in numerous ball-striking categories, the World No. 1 has been dreadful with the putter, ranking outside the top 145 in strokes gained/putting.

With two wins and 13 top-five finishes, Scheffler has had a fantastic season, but it’s hard not to consider how historic his season would have been with just average putting stats ( we recently crunched the numbers, and you can find that here ). But even with Scheffler’s troubles on the greens (he ranks outside the top 150 in numerous other putting categories), there is one statistic he leads: approach putt performance.

Normally a helpful stat to judge distance control on the greens, approach putt performance measures how close a player leaves his first putt from the hole on average. This season, no one is better than Scheffler and Ryan Armour, who both average 1’11” for their second putts. As you’d imagine, there is correlation between leaving your first putt close to the hole and avoiding three-putts. It’s little surprise then, that Scheffler is ranked 11th in three-putt avoidance.

RELATED: The tour's best short-range putter has some good advice for the rest of us

How can Scheffler have some of the best speed control on tour and be avoiding three-putts but still be near the bottom in numerous major putting categories? What this disparity does and doesn’t reveal is insight for all of us into how we should examine our own games.

What it does reveal

Scheffler leading the tour in approach putt performance says more about his excellent ball-striking than his touch on the greens. This statistic, like many others, cannot be viewed in a vacuum. Scheffler leaves his first putts closer to the hole than any player, but of course not everyone is hitting their first putts from the same distance from the hole.

In addition to leading in strokes gained/approach and greens in regulation, Scheffler is among the best on tour in proximity to the hole. From the fairway, he ranks a solid 21st in proximity, and from the rough he is 13th on tour. Within 30 yards of the green, only three players average closer to the hole. Taken together, Scheffler is hitting his first putts from significantly closer to the hole than most players.

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RELATED: At what yardage could you shoot even par? The answer might surprise you

What it doesn't reveal

Unfortunately for Scheffler, his high ranks in approach putt performance and three-putt avoidance don’t say much about his overall putting. His make percentages from 20-25’ (150th), 10-15’ (166th), and 4-8’ (169th) are near the bottom of the tour. Yes, he is leaving his second putts close to the hole, but 1) he is hitting his first putts from closer on average and 2) he is holing far less short- and mid-range putts than most players.

The takeaway

The takeaway for the rest of our games is to be careful in placing too much emphasis on certain stats without thinking about what other factors could be influencing the numbers. A couple good examples are total putts per round and scrambling percentage. As much as it may seem diligent to track these stats at the bottom of your scorecard, they reveal very little on their own.

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Karl Hendon

Let’s say two players have 30 putts in a round—a seemingly decent number. Suppose one player struck it very well and hit 16 of 18 greens, leaving an average first putt of 35 feet. The other player hit just four greens, but on the 14 times they were chipping from around the green, they left themselves with an average putt of 15 feet. Both players had 30 putts, but the player who hit 16 greens had a much better putting day considering their proximity was much farther. If you’re going to track your total putts per round, be sure to consider your greens in regulation and how close you were putting from.

There’s a similar idea with measuring how many times you get up-and-down in a round. A high scrambling percentage on a given day suggests you were chipping and putting well. But which one was it? Sure, you could have done both well, but if you were chipping it to three feet all day, that says far less about your putting than it does your touch around the greens. Or maybe you were knocking in 20-foot par-savers all day. You were getting up-and-down, but you weren’t necessarily chipping well.

Remember, many statistics cannot be viewed in a vacuum. Tracking them is key to understanding your game so you know where you need to improve, but be sure to consider what other factors could be affecting a given stat.

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  • Putting Resources

2021 PGA Tour putting stats really can tell a story. These are the top 200 players in the world. So what is this putting resources chart all about. Compare your stats to the best.

I look at the “last” column and try for those stats.

Practice all length putts, but mostly 20 feet and in to score better. Practice longer lag putts to avoid making 3 putts.

Old Duffer Golf image of PGA TOUR putting stats / putting resources

You may want to take a look for more putting resources and stats at the PGA Tour website .

Never up, Never in versus Lagging

There are two theories. The “never up, never in” theory and the “lag” theory. I use the “never up, never” in theory from 20 ft. or closer and the “lag” theory for putts longer than 20 feet.

A good suggestions is to set up practice putts of 3 ft., 6 ft., 10 ft.,15 ft., 20 ft., 30 ft., and 40 ft. or farther using red divot repair tools or tees. I don’t putt them in order and vary the distance.

Putt the same golf ball or 3 golf balls from each position and then remove the marker to tell which distances have been completed.

Putt in both directions to a 6 foot diameter circle made from white ball markers or tees. I have a 3 foot piece of string and a tee to lay this out with. The object is to make the putt or to end up with a 3 foot putt or less.

For putts you miss, some people will suggest that you leave the ball 1 foot from the hole on a 10 foot putt, 2 feet from the hole on a 20 foot putt, 3 feet from the hole on a 30 foot putt, 4 feet from the hole on a 40 foot putt and 5 or 6 feet from the hole on putts farther than 40 feet.

Putting with Loft or the “Rule of 12”

Printable Charts for the “Rule of 12” or putting with loft.

This is the Paul Runyan technique of chip using more of a putting stroke. Chipping to the closest dry position on the green that is on your intended line. Then applying the theory of “Less air time and More ground time” or chip and run.

Here is our article on “ Putting with Loft .”

Reading Greens: Breaking putts and rise angle

At the outset, I’ll say that I don’t like doing math on the green. I like to play golf and do most of the math when I practice.

These charts are intended for reference and are approximate values. The actual amount of break to play or how hard you have to hit the ball uphill or downhill depends on each individual player in my mind.

They are putting resources for people who use degrees or percentage of slope in green reading.

Here is a link to our digital green reading article. It lists devices and apps that help you read slope.

Printable charts and diagrams in PDF format

How much break to play

Slope chart.

0.5 degree = 0.87 percent 1.0 degree = 1.75 percent 1.5 degrees = 2.62 percent 2.0 degrees = 3.5 percent 2.5 degrees = 4.37 percent 3.0 degrees = 5.24 percent 3.5 degrees = 6.12 percent 4.0 degrees = 7 percent

.5 percent = .29 degrees 1 percent = .57 degrees 1.5 percent = .86 degrees 2 percent = 1.15 degrees 2.5 percent = 1.43 degrees 3 percent = 1.72 degrees 3.5 percent = 2 degrees 4 percent = 2.29 degrees 4.5 percent = 2.58 degrees 5 percent = 2.86 degrees 5.5 percent = 3.15 degrees 6 percent = 3.43 degrees 6.5 percent = 3.72 degrees 7 percent = 4 degrees

So, measuring isn’t a bad thing in practice. However, I don’t think your league would let you whip out a digital level during play.

Rise angle: Putting uphill or downhill

This chart is in percentage increments. Degrees of slope and percent of slope are not the same…I use these for a ball park reference. Use the suggestions in the chart to practice up and downhill putts.

So, based on your game, apply 1 time, 2 times, etc. increased pace for uphill putts and the reverse for downhill putts.

Just for Reference

What’s fair?

It’s generally agreed a “fair” putting surface allows golfers to get even downhill approach putts within three feet of the hole and keeps break for short second putts “within the hole” to reward good shots. More importantly, flat areas around the hole location reduce time consuming green reads and three putts, thus keeping challenge reasonable for everyday play and reducing slow play.

Pro Green Slope

“All my practice is built around those greens books,” says Phil Mickelson. “In my yard I have a green with 1-, 2-, 3- and 4-degree slopes. I practice on that so I can equate it to the greens book when I play.” At the U.S. Open, players were able to consult their green-reading materials.

These yardage books are a good example of pro green slope in degrees.

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Putting Statistics by Handicap: Which Stats to Track?

In this guide I’ll share recent data on putting statistics by handicap so you can see how well golfers like you are putting in different categories. Tracking putting stats is important to improving your short game so you can see where your weaknesses and strengths are and adjust strategy on the golf course.

One of the fun aspects about tracking your putting stats is you can compare them with the putting statistics of professional golfers to see how you fare. Putting is one area where amateur golfers can actually become as good as professionals.

In order for the amateur golfer to better understand how well the best players in the world actually putt, let’s take a look at the putting statistics on the PGA Tour.

Putting Stats

The following key putting statistics will give the amateur golfer perspective about how good or bad the pro’s actually putt in reality. Track these putting stats in your own golf game to see how you compare.

  • Putts per round
  • Putts from 3 feet
  • Putts from 6 feet
  • Putting from 10 feet
  • Putts made from over 20 feet per event

Resource: Golf Practice System with Step by Step Practice Plans + Video Lessons

Putts Per Round

The PGA Tour keeps record of basically every putting stat that can be tracked via their Shotlink system. You can find a full page of putting stats here.

One of the most common stats that most golfers, even high handicap amateur golfers, know about are putts per round.

This tracks how many total putts a golfer has during a round of golf. If you are giving yourself 2-putts per hole as a goal and you play 18 holes, then that would calculate out to 36 putts per round you’d expect to hit.

The leader on the PGA Tour each year has usually averaged around 28 putts per round, so 8 shots lower than the 36 putt goal.

Looking at this stat will make the average golfer realize that having 30 putts or less per round is a very solid goal to strive towards instead of setting the goal at 36.

Putts per round by handicap:

  • Professional golfer = 28-32 putts
  • Scratch golfer = 30-34 putts
  • Average golfer = 36-40 putts
  • High handicap = 45+ putts

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Putts from 3 Feet – Make Percentage

Normally during a round with friends most amateurs are very quick to give each other 3 and 4 foot putts, calling them good and letting the putt be picked up, rather than putted out to finish the hole.

If your playing partner is Patrick Cantlay then yes you can go ahead and give those putts to him, but on average social golfers don’t make nearly as many short putts as they should.

Patrick Cantlay made every single 3 footer that he had on the PGA Tour season. That’s over 700 3-footers made in a row to be exact!

You don’t have to make every single 3 footer that you have, but it will definitely improve your golf score if you can at least make 80% of your 3 footers on average.

Before you give yourself that 3 footer, ask yourself, is this going to benefit me by skipping the putt or will it help me get extra practice under pressure by making myself putt out?

3 Foot Putts by Handicap:

  • Professional golfer = 99% (10 out of 10)
  • Scratch golfer = 95% (9 out of 10)
  • Average golfer = 60% (6 out of 10)
  • High handicap = 40% (4 out of 10)

Putts from 6 feet – Make Percentage

Patrick Cantlay making a 100% of his 3 footers during a golf season is very impressive, but the human aspect in putting begins to show from the 6 foot mark.

Brian Harman was the leader in this recent PGA season with a 6 foot make percentage rate of 91%, which is still an incredible feat to achieve.

6 foot putts are your money range. They’re going to help you save pars and set you apart from the average golfer. Spend a lot of your putting practice time on this distance.

If professionals are averaging 80-90% from 6 feet, then set a goal for your game to achieve a 75% or better make rate at 6 feet. This will take 1000’s of reps to build skill but it’s a great goal to aim for and impress your opponents on the golf course.

6 Foot Putts by Handicap:

  • Professional golfer = 85% (8 out of 10)
  • Scratch golfer = 75% (7 out of 10)
  • Average golfer = 20% (2 out of 10)
  • High handicap = 10% (1 out of 10)

Putts from 10 Feet – Make Percentage

At the 10 foot mark, the percentage of putts made decreases considerably.

Zach Johnson held the top spot this recent season with a 70% make rate at 10 feet on the PGA Tour, and the last place player was at just 23%

Amateur golfers can learn a lot by looking at this statistic, having perspective about what realistic expectations are to have of yourself is a great start.

If a PGA Player only makes 3 out of 10 of his 10 foot putts for a 30% make rate then you definitely can’t get mad at yourself for missing them out on the course.

The average make percentage at 10 feet for the PGA Tour fell around 40%. Anyone above 50% was top 20 in the league.

10 Foot Putts by Handicap:

  • Professional golfer = 40% (4 out of 10)
  • Scratch golfer = 20% (2 out of 10)
  • Average golfer = 0-5% (0 out of 10)
  • High handicap = 0-1% (0 out of 10)

Green in Regulation Made Putts from 10-15 Feet

This putting stat tracks your birdie make percentage. When a professional golfer hits the green in regulation, what are the chances he makes the putt.

In this stat we chose to highlight the 10-15 foot birdie putt, and the leader on the PGA Tour was Adam Scott at 42% conversion.

Therefore, if he can hit his approach shots inside of 15 feet, Scott has a good chance of making 1 out of every 2 putts for birdie.

Putts made from over 20 feet per round

We all remember that long putt we made to save par or better yet that 30 foot birdie putt to win the money game against your friends.

No surprise that Jordan Spieth is right up there at the top of the leaderboard in this statistic.

Patrick Cantlay is technically the leader in this category with 2.3 putts made over 20 foot per round.

Spieth ranked 2nd in this category with 2.2 putts made over 20 foot per round.

Justin Rose is also high on the leaderboard for make percentage from 20 feet or beyond. He sank 10% of his 20 foot putts overall, and when he was on the green in regulation that stat jumps to 28%.

How to Track Your Putting Statistics

Start by giving yourself a couple blank lines on the scorecard for writing in putting stats. Then transfer these stats over to a spreadsheet or an app like 18Birdies so you can keep data digitally on your smart phone.

During practice I like to pull up notes on my phone and log putting stats for different drills I complete.

For example, if I do the make 100 putts from 3 feet drill, I’ll write down “99/100 – 3 feet” and then “70/100 – 6 feet” so I can compare my stats later on in future practices.

Golf Round Stats to Track on Scorecard

  • Putts made at various distances
  • Total putts per round
  • Total 3 putts
  • Birdie putt conversion rate

To some these putting stats might sound confusing, but if you take the time to read through it and process what they are portraying then they might actually give you perspective to use with your own putting skill level.

It is important to have realistic goals and expectations of your golf game, as having unrealistic expectations will only add pressure and anxiety to your mental game, causing worse performance.

These statistics can also add value to your practice regime. Knowing how many putts the best players in the world make from a certain distance can provide you with a good goal to work towards.

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Follow these step by step practice plans and watch video lessons to learn how to improve your golf swing, chipping, and putting fundamentals.

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Golf Science – Putting Numbers that Might Surprise You

Golf Science – Putting Numbers that Might Surprise You

The one golf shot everyone can make, and make successfully, is, of course, the putt. As the putter never rises very far from the ground, all a golfer needs to do is make a small movement back and a small movement through, and plonk, the ball is in the hole!

Perhaps that is why golfers, from rank beginners to the best of the professionals, feel and look very, very disappointed when they miss the hole by a thread. One case in point is Jordan Spieth, who looks disappointed whenever he misses any putt at all, even a long, sidehill, downhill putt.  

While putts-missed frustration is based on golfers’ expectations, the reality of what they should expect is quite different. What, really, are the odds of making a putt?  

According to research by Mark Broadie, a professor at Columbia University who is responsible for the ‘strokes gained” concept, on average PGA TOUR pros make 99% of 2-foot putts, 96% of 3-foot putts, 88% of 4-foot putts and 77% of 5-foot putts.

  From 10 feet, the pros’ one-putt percentage is 40%, 23% from 15 feet, 15% from 20 feet, 7% from 30 feet, 4% from 40 feet, 3% from 50 feet and 2% from 60 feet. Also, according to Broadie, putting from inside 10 feet is very different than putting from 10 feet. The PGA TOUR average is 88% inside 10 feet, and just 40% from 10 feet. Only in one of 10 rounds do tour pros hole 100 percent of their putts from inside 10 feet.

And most recently, in 2021/22, Tour pros made an average 99% of putts that were 3ft or less. The number dropped slightly for 4ft putts, to 92%, while 81% of 5ft putts were successful, and 70% of 6ft putts were holed. That falls to around 61% of 7ft putts, 54% of 8ft putts and 45% from 9 feet.

pga tour stats putting 15 20 feet

So what should an average golfer do to improve their odds of holing more putts? The main difference comes from more practice. Good practice, naturally. Golfers should not just practice short putts but long putts, too – those that are often referred to as “lag” putts. In general, to improve putting, it is easier and makes more sense to reduce the number of three putts than to increase the number of single putts.  

The three aspects to good putting are – a good and repeating stroke, good distance control and good direction judgment or green-reading skills.  

Information abounds about how to read greens, from plumb-bobbing (which Dave Pelz of Putting Bible says does not work) to using AimPoint concepts to understand slope on a putt.  

With respect to the stroke itself, the main requirements are for putter-ball contact to be centered, with a square face, no deceleration through impact and a slight rise angle (club face moving upwards by about 2° or so). This is something that a golfer must work to improve, and there are two camps with regard to the best stroke to deliver consistent results – an in-to-out-to-in stroke or a straight back and through one. Ideally, golfers should experiment with a couple of styles (as recommended by famous putting gurus like Dave Pelz, Geoff Magnum and Craig Farnsworth).

The concept of speed or distance control is perhaps the most important and yet one that can only be learned from practice, which would improve hand-eye coordination. There are many phrases that tell golfers to never leave a putt short, such as “never over never in,” but how to know how hard and how fast to hit a putt?

Literally, the only thing that can improve this most important aspect of putting is putting in the reps. And making sure the stroke is a repeating one.

One very comforting point that Dave Pelz makes is that great putters are made, not born. Of the 15 aspects or building blocks that he believes matter for the execution of good putts, he says that most golfers are usually good at many of them. The 15 aspects (building blocks) that together result in good putting, are aim, path, touch, rhythm, ritual, feel, face angle, stability, attitude, routine, putter fitting, power source, impact pattern, flow lines and green-reading.  

Pelz also says that putting is both an art and a science. So, golfers, the best way to improve your putting – the one part of everyone’s game that can be on par with everyone else’s – is by … putting!

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Putting make percentages by handicap – how do you compare?

Putting make percentages by handicap – how do you compare?

13 March 2022 0 0 Share on Twitter Share on Facebook

Is putting your strength or your weakness? See how your putting make percentage compares to your handicap category

An often-heard phrase in clubhouses around the world, “Man, I didn’t hole a thing out there today!” Whilst it may feel like you didn’t hole any putts, the truth is you had to have holed enough putts to complete your round. Whether you had 30 putts or 38 putts, you did hole enough to post a score. Nonetheless, it’s maybe that short putt for birdie on the 8 th or a missed opportunity on the 18 th that is fresh in the mind and leaves you with a bitter taste in your mouth. However, don’t beat yourself up.

A recent look at the Shot Scope database putting statistics has revealed that for all handicap categories, the make % is pretty good. Yes, there is always room for improvement but don’t beat yourself up about it. If you currently do not track your golf shots, or measure your performance on the course in any way – we highly recommend you start as it is the easiest way to learn what you need to change in order to improve your game .

The Shot Scope database revealed the make percentage from certain distances to be the following:

Make % from 30ft+

Starting from the furthest away benchmark (30+ ft) from the hole to the closest (0-6ft), the data above is very interesting. Indeed, our putting data shows that from 30+ feet there is not a great difference in make percentages at this range. This is unsurprising as from this distance it is often quite rare to hole putts on a consistent basis, the aim should be to at least two-putt every time from this distance rather than hole it. Whilst holing a putt from this distance is great, the focus should be predominantly about pace and then line which will ensure your next putt is a tap-in more often than not.

Make % from 24-30ft

The next distance bracket, 24-30 feet, offers up some interesting insights. In particular the make percentage of 5 HCP golfers. The 5 HCP golfers make percentage from 24-30 feet is a very respectable 10.10%, the highest of all handicap categories. These figures are a good standard, especially considering the nearest stat comparison of 20-25 feet make percentage on the PGA tour for last season was 12.43%. 

Putting Make %

The next three categories, encompassing 6-24 feet, again showcase the good standard of the typical 0 handicap golfer on the Shot Scope database. They have the highest make percentages in all three categories. Other handicap categories are not too far behind from these distances.

Putting Make % from 0-6ft

The final distance bracket, and perhaps the most crucial, is the 0-6 feet category. Unsurprisingly the lower the handicap the higher the make percentage, this pattern follows all the way from 0 HCP to 25 HCP. This crucial category is where the 0-handicap category pulls ahead at 92.80%. This is a great make percentage as the PGA tour make percentage from inside 5 feet (not direct distance comparison but closest stat available) last year was 96.70%. Considering an extra foot added on to our distance bracket then this is a very high standard.

With a lot of second putts falling within this distance and short game shots when attempting to get up and down also coming into this distance bracket, it is crucial for scoring to hole as many 0–6-foot putts during a round as possible. Therefore, it is reasonable to suggest that part of the reason the lower handicap golfers are in their handicap category is because of their higher make percentage from this 0-6 feet distance. We suggest all handicap categories practice their putting from this distance on the putting green once or twice a week, it can even be practiced at home. If your make percentage in this distance bracket increases then there is a good chance your scores on the course will come tumbling down.

So, how does your make percentage compare to your handicap category? Have a look on your Shot Scope mobile app or web dashboard to see how your putting skills match up to golfers of your handicap ability.

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pga tour stats putting 15 20 feet

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pga tour stats putting 15 20 feet

The hole truth: You don’t putt like a tour pro

  • Author: Gary Van Sickle

The yips is an affliction that affects some golfers.

Putting is an affliction that affects all golfers. Almost all golfers, anyway.

You say you putt great? Bully for you. Check back in 30 years and let me know.

Allow me to exaggerate to make a point: Average golfers know that we can’t hit it like the PGA Tour pros. They’re Happy Gilmores come to life, what with Matthew Wolfe’s official 388-yard drive during the U.S. Open ’s final round and Bryson DeChambeau’s launch monitor that showed a drive with a 400-yard carry . Some of us need multiple swings to cover 400 yards.

The gap between how well tour pros putt and how average hacks putt might be bigger than the afore-mentioned distance gap. Did I say gap ? I meant gorge .

The putting-gorge gap might not seem as obvious. You and I can come close to making 20-foot putts, and we often do – come close, that is. Tour players make 20-footers on a ridiculously regular basis. In the 2019-20 PGA Tour season, three players holed more than 31 percent of their putts from 15-20 feet: Anirban Lahiri, Vincent Whaley and Ian Poulter. That’s almost one out of three.

Your make percentage from that distance probably is closer to one out of 20, and that’s even if you keep putting from the same spot and learn the line. You and I don’t burn the cup’s edge from 20 feet as often as tour pros make it.

That old PGA Tour slogan had it right: These Guys Are Good . If the rest of us had a slogan, it might be, These Hacks Are The Opposite of Good . Or maybe a less-polite version.

Of course, I can’t prove my hypothesis, although watching almost any Thursday afternoon Golf Channel tournament telecast ought to do it. For proof, I need statistics. I need data. The PGA Tour compiles gigabytes of data. You and I have a broken-down old caddie named Jack Squat. (Zero data, in other words.)

So how can we compare our skill levels? As an experiment, I asked a dozen or so colleagues, golf pals and assorted strangers to keep track of a simple putting statistic: add the total length of the putts that they made for 18 holes. For example, if I hit a putt from 30 feet that stops a foot short and tap it in, I get credit for 1 foot of holed putts.

It’s a flawed stat (as most putting stats are) because it’s based too much on where a golfer’s putting originates. But it’s a simple number to keep and requires minimal effort, which I figured was the most I could expect from my volunteers, and PGA Tour computers keep this number for the pros.

I was curious: How many feet of putts does an average amateur make? In a lot of rounds, it feels as if I didn’t hole a putt longer than 3 feet, and if I did, it probably was my second putt.

The results of my unscientific survey were limited, because my gung-ho volunteers kept forgetting to keep track until the third post-round beverage. But the results proved my theory, which is that we suck at putting relative to tour players.

I contributed six rounds of data. My total lengths of putts made were, in chronological order, 34, 100, 80, 45, 42 and 48. The same guy who put up 34 feet one day put up 100 feet the next day? Yes, probably because I went to a private club with smoother, quicker greens instead of playing the super-slow greens at the mangy public course I normally frequent. Plus, holing putts of 30, 20 and 16 feet accounted for nearly two-thirds of my total. I accidentally made a couple of bombs in the 80-foot round, too. Remove the 100- and 80-foot totals and I averaged about 43 feet per round, or 2.4 feet per hole. Yeah, that sounds more like it: unimpressive.

My volunteers submerged in similar boats. One fellow – let’s call him Marcus (I promised anonymity to all involved) – had totals of 38 and 50 feet at his home courses. His average: 44 feet. He does, in fact, battle the yips, but golfing purist that he is, refuses to give in. “If Steve Stricker putted for me, I’d shoot 80 or better most of the time because I’m on or near 16 of 18 greens,” he said. “I hit good bunker shots, fair chips, poor lag putts and worse 5-footers.”

I feel his pain. A mid-double-digit handicapper we’ll call Randy provided two fivesomes’ worth of scores. He personally posted 44 and 59 feet (an average of 51.5 feet). Bill led the group with 72 and 53 (average: 62.5). Leo and Kevin each had one round over 70 feet but also one in the upper 40s. The group’s 10-round average was 55.6 feet.

Then there’s the long-time friend who’s my age (approaching ancient) whom I’ll call Rocco. He contributed four rounds: two in the mid-50s, one at a mere 27.5 and one with 66 feet in which he didn’t play the last three holes on account of darkness. The 27.5-foot total wasn’t helped by a chip-in, he said. “When you suck, I don’t know why it’s always a surprise,” he said.

Rocco averaged 51.4 feet and epitomized the volunteers as a group. In our tiny sampling of 26 rounds, we averaged 51.8 feet of putts holed per round.

I did not include data from John in Wisconsin, whose two regular foursomes (featuring players ranging from 11 to 23 handicaps with nicknames such as Rum Head, The Beav, Pork Face, Mr. Merengue and one I can’t print) play four-man scrambles against one another. Playing in a scramble skews putting stats because the fourth person putting already has seen three putts on the same line and has a big advantage. It’s a different kind of sample, and I didn’t want to mix apples with pork faces, but I like the way John’s group has figured out how to maximize its fun.

“I seriously can’t remember the last time we had individual scorecards,” John said. “I’ve been playing with these boys for 25 years, and we haven’t played a single hole that didn’t involve a wager. You could lose $25 or $30 on a bad day, but, of course, the winners usually take a loss after picking up the bar tab.”

One scramble team holed putts of 182 feet, 138 of it on four ocean-liners. The other team totaled 79 feet. You can guess which team picked up the bar tab. John’s group plays 95 percent of its golf on public courses. “While half the guys could comfortably belong to a private club,” he said, “you could never live that down.”

So how did our amateurs stack up versus the PGA Tour players? Not very well.

The average total of putts holed per round on the PGA Tour for 2019-20 was 72.8 feet. The leaders were Kristoffer Ventura, 87 feet 9 inches; Denny McCarthy, 85-4; and Michael Gellerman, 83-8. Andy Ogletree ranked first at the end of the year in this season’s stats at 99 feet 7 inches.

Only four of our 26 hacker-round totals exceeded the tour average of 72.8 feet. The reality was, we averaged 20 fewer feet of putts holed per round than the pros.

Twenty feet is a lot. If he weren’t careful, a fellow could three-putt from that distance.

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Golfing Focus

What Percentage of Putts Do Pros Make? TV Does Not Tell the Story

Graeme Hay

Written by Graeme Hay | Last Updated: 12/03/2024

A golfer putting towards the hole on a green

Watch the TV coverage of the PGA Tour for any length of time and you would be forgiven for thinking that the top pros hardly ever miss a putt.

Player after player seems to be rolling the ball in from any distance you care to think of and certainly rarely if ever appears to miss the short putts which cause us regular amateurs countless sleepless nights.

But what is the reality when it comes to the percentages of putts that the pros make?

On average PGA Tour pros make 99% of 2-foot putts, 96% of 3-foot putts, 88% of 4-foot putts and 77% of 5-foot putts according to strokes gained pioneer, Mark Broadie. From 10 feet their one putt percentage is 40%, 23% from 15 feet, 15% from 20 feet, 7% from 30 feet, 4% from 40 feet, 3% from 50 feet and 2% from 60 feet.

But hang on a second I hear some of you say, and especially those of you who sometimes keep an eye on the putting statistics on the PGA Tour website.

PGA Tour stats show pros make almost 100% of putts from inside 3 feet.

Well that stat is also true but that’s the per cent of putts they make when the ball is 3 feet or less from the hole. So it includes all the tap ins from right next to the hole in addition to those which are exactly 3 feet away.

To get a better view of how good the pros are at putting from various distances it is a much better idea to see how they get on from specific distances and if you look closely you will find that although they are indeed great putters amateurs by comparison are not that bad at putting themselves.

Putting from inside 10 feet is very different than putting from 10 feet. The PGA Tour average is 88% inside 10 feet, and just 40% from 10 feet. In 1 of 10 rounds tour pros hole 100 percent of their putts from inside 10 feet. https://t.co/qUgY9oOt1a — Mark Broadie (@MarkBroadie) May 1, 2018

Pros Do Not Make As Many Putts As You May Think

The best golf pros in the world playing on the PGA Tour are great putters. There is no question about it.

But if you watch too much golf on TV you may think that they almost never miss a short putt and are regularly rolling in long putts from all over the green.

And as a result you could find yourself expecting to hole most of the 15-foot putts you face on your regular rounds and for certain all of your putts from 10 feet and under because that is what the pros seem to be doing every week.

A closer analysis of the stats of the percentage of putts the pros make from 2 feet all the way to 90 feet, shown in the table below, however will show that they do not hole quite as many as you may think they do.

This data, taken from the official PGA Tour stats and the book ‘Every Shot Counts’ (Amazon link) – written by the pioneer of the ‘strokes gained’ metrics first adopted by the PGA Tour in 2011, Columbia Business School Professor Mark Broadie – highlights clearly the pros do not one putt as often as TV coverage may suggest.

And if you look at a standard 72-hole PGA Tour tournament as a whole you will find that on average pros make only 4.4 putts from over 10 feet and 1.2 putts from over 20 feet per event .

So despite what impression the TV highlights give you that means the best players in the world are only in reality making 1 putt from over 10 feet a round and only 1 putt from 20 feet across the 72 holes of a complete tournament.

So the next time you start giving yourself a hard time for missing that third or fourth 10 to 15 foot putt just remember that the pros would likely have missed them too more often than not.

My buddy: ▶️"Man I had a bunch of 15 footers today that I should have made." Me: ▶️"PGA Tour pros average one made putt per round from 13'3" or longer." #ManageYourExpectations — Lou Stagner (Golf Stat Pro) (@LouStagner) December 18, 2021

[Editor’s note – If you are interested in what putting stats and others are really important to help you improve we would highly recommend the book ‘Every Shot Counts‘ (Amazon link) by Professor Mark Broadie.  Check out the review of it here .]

Pros Are Great Putters but Amateurs are Good Too

While all the data shows that the pros do not make as many putts as you may think they are clearly fantastic putters and the best putters in the world.

However traditional golf stats have often proved misleading in explaining why the pros are so much better than regular amateur players.

The old adage of “you drive for show but putt for dough” has been drummed into generations of amateur golfers and allowed the impression to build that it is the short game – chipping and putting – which explains the difference in capability between players.

The reality however – exposed by Professor Broadie and others – is that it is the long game that is more important and that simple fact is almost explained by itself when you look at how many putts the pros average compared to amateurs.

On average PGA Tour pros take 28.92 putts per round according to the official Shotlink data. By comparison typical 90 scoring golfers average 33.4 putts per round but this overstates the skill difference according to strokes gained pioneer, Mark Broadie, because amateur putts typically start further from the hole than pros.

And when you think also that pros are playing on the best putting surfaces in the world it again serves to highlight that putting is not the key thing that explains the mountainous gap in ability between pros and amateur golfers.

After all looking at the average putting stats per round shows it only explains less than 5 strokes of difference between a pros average score and an average 90 scoring golfer and I can’t imagine many regular amateurs accepting close to only 5 strokes for a matchplay game against a PGA Tour pro!

“A 90-golfer will beat a pro in almost 10% of rounds. An 80-golfer’s SGP (Strokes Gained Putting) will beat a pro’s almost 20% of the time. And a scratch golfer will putt better than a pro more than 30% of the time. Amateur golfers aren’t bad putters!” Mark Broadie, Columbia Business School professor and pioneer of the ‘strokes gained’ metrics adopted by the PGA Tour

In his fantastic book, Every Shot Counts, Professor Broadie again details the comparative percentages of how many putts the average 90 golfer makes to let us clearly see amateurs are actually not that bad when it comes to putting even when compared to the pros.

Focus on the Number of 3 Putts Pros Make

When it comes to explaining the difference between the putting of the best putters in the world on the PGA Tour and that of us regular golfers it is best not to focus on the number of putts the pros make but rather on the number of putting mistakes they do not make.

And when we are talking about putting mistakes we are focusing exclusively on the dreaded 3-putt!

Whether you are a professional golfer or a weekend hacker 3-putts are scorecard killers and it is when we come to counting how often pros 3 putt compared to amateurs that we see where the real difference lies.

PGA Tour pros 3-putt only 0.51 times per round according to PGA Tour Shotlink stats. From 5 feet their 3-putt percentage is 0.4%, 0.7% from 10 feet, 1.3% from 15 feet and 2.2% from 20 feet. On longer putts of 30 feet that rises to 5%, 10% from 40 feet, 17% from 50 feet, 23% from 60 feet and 41% from 90 feet.

And the key difference when it comes to comparing the putting of the pros to the average 90 scoring golfer is almost lost when you look at the basic data.

For example if you take a quick look at the average number of putts per hole comparison between a PGA Tour player and an average 90-scoring golfer in the graph below there does not appear to be a lot in it from all distances.

Graph of average number of putts per hole comparing PGA Tour golfers with an average 90 scoring player.

That is true but the crucial thing to look at is when those lines start going over the vital regulation ‘2 putts per hole’ mark on average.

For the 90-scoring amateur the dreaded 3-putts start to happen more often to drive that average up over the regulation at just over 16 feet from the hole while for the PGA Tour pros the average 2-putt range is 35 feet.

Given the PGA Tour pros don’t start ending up further than 35 feet from the hole on average until their approach shots are measuring over 200 yards that just shows how often they will manage to avoid adding those highly damaging 3-putts to their scorecards.

So rather than focusing on the question of how many putts the pros make it is probably better for all recreational golfers to focus on the stat of how often pros 3-putt as it by trying to match them in the latter statistic that will most quickly make a difference in your scores.

Because even for the pros 3-putt avoidance is key compared to one putt success.

Three-wiggles are bad for business. pic.twitter.com/Mjxt9Z2ef6 — Lou Stagner (Golf Stat Pro) (@LouStagner) November 30, 2021

Final Thought

If you are looking to improve your golf, and looking at the stats of the pros for some guidance, it is absolutely vital that you are clear where pros’ gains are coming from and which parts of your game may benefit from you looking more closely at them.

And when it comes to putting if you only do one thing simply stop counting the number of putts you take per round and start counting the number of times you 3-putt instead.

For the average golfer reducing the number of times they three-putt is the quickest way to take strokes off their score and the best way to do that is to reduce the length of your second putt from those all important mid-range distances of 11 to 30 feet.

Speed control is one of the two fundamentals of putting and it is key to helping you to get the ball closer to the hole with that first putt and avoid those damaging 3 putts.

[Editor’s note – If you are interested in finding out the other best golf stats to measure to help you improve your game check our article the 10 best stats to keep track of here .]

[Note – Just so you know, and we are upfront as an affiliate program participant, Golfing Focus, at no cost to you, earns from qualifying purchases made through links on this page.]

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What Percentage Of 10ft Putts Do PGA Tour Pros Make? Clue: It's Not As Many As You Think

Many amateur golfers would fancy their chances over a putt from 10ft, but how many do the pros make on the PGA Tour? We dig into the data to find out...

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What Percentage Of 10ft Putts Do PGA Tour Pros Make? Rory McIlroy misses a putt and a golf ball with a percentage sign

For anyone who watches the PGA Tour , it may look slightly perplexing how many putts are missed from the 10ft range. Clearly, we aren't able to see the complex nuances of the greens or feel the pressure these players are under, but it does make you wonder... what percentage of 10ft putts do PGA Tour pros make? We analysed the data and were surprised with the findings.

What percentage of 10ft putts do PGA Tour pros make?

Fortunately, the PGA Tour website has a dedicated stats section dedicated to this very metric. Throughout the 2022/2023 season, the average was around 41% - with 91 players falling short of that mark.

One of the more notable names on the list is current World No.1 Scottie Scheffler , who ranked 190th out of 193 players for putting from 10ft. Interestingly, Scheffler made just 25% of his putts, outranking only the performance of Michael Gligic, Doc Redman and Sung Kang that season.

Scottie Scheffler putting

To further amplify the enormity of that stat, the latest Arcoss data revealed that the average tour pro makes 22% of putts from 10-14ft and a 20-handicapper makes 18% from the same distance. While it is difficult to compare the standard and difficulty of the greens, and the magnitude of the measured events, this stat further highlights how challenging this area of the game is for players of all abilities.

Still, with players like Collin Morikawa (31.43%) and Sam Burns (33.3%) making a third or less of all putts from 10ft last season, it clearly isn't just the former Masters champion who struggled from this range. In total, 101 players made the cut to post above average putting numbers from this distance, with only 29 achieving better than 50%.

Collin Morikawa putting

At the other end of the stats table, 2023 US Ryder Cup Captain Zach Johnson led the way after making a staggering 69% of his putts. The top of the list is a who's-who of putting brilliance, with the likes of Denny McCarthy, Rickie Fowler , Webb Simpson and Patrick Cantlay securing their place in the top-5 for this measure.

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Barry Plummer is our Staff Writer, joining in January 2024 after seven years as a PE Teacher. He now writes about instruction, working closely with Golf Monthly's Top 50 Coaches to provide hints and tips about all aspects of the game. As someone who came into golf at a later age, Barry is very passionate about supporting the growth of the game and creating opportunities for everyone to access it. A member at Sand Moor Golf Club in Leeds, he looks forward to getting out on the course at least once a week and making up for lost time in the pursuit of a respectable handicap.

Barry is currently playing:

Driver: Ping G425

Hybrid: TaylorMade Stealth 4 Hybrid

Irons: Mizuno JPX 921 4-PW

Wedges: TaylorMade RAC 60, Callaway Jaws MD5 54

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  • Instruction and Playing Tips

PGA Tour Putts Gained/Make Percentage Stats

iacas

By iacas , July 24, 2011 in Instruction and Playing Tips

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http://www.pgatour.com/r/strokes-gained-putting-baseline/index.html

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twilliams16

twilliams16

is this for pga players?

Originally Posted by twilliams16 is this for pga players?

R9 with 757 Speeder mp 57 3-pw project x 6.0 flighted Vokey* 56* 60* Monza Corsa Putter

"Golf is an entire game built around making something that is naturally easy - putting a ball into a hole - as difficult as possible." - Scott Adams Mid-priced ball reviews: Top Flight Gamer v2 | Bridgestone e5 ('10) | Titleist NXT Tour ('10) | Taylormade Burner TP LDP | Taylormade TP Black | Taylormade Burner Tour | Srixon Q-Star ('12)

  • 5 years later...

Have these numbers been updated for 2016?

From the land of perpetual cloudiness.   I'm Denny

They were updated last year. 8 feet is the 50% point.

Maybe someone can find a good chart. If not I'll try to remember to add it tomorrow.

http://www.pgatour.com/news/2016/05/31/strokes-gained-defined.html

Upvote

  • 1 year later...

billchao

I played with someone over the weekend that told me he needed to improve his 10 footers. He said he's not expecting to be PGA Tour level, but he wants to be closer to 50% because right now he's more like 40% and he needs to be better if he wants to make more birdies.

I asked him what he thought the make % from 10' is on tour and he said 70%. He didn't believe me when I told him tour players average 50% from 8'.

This guy is going to spend extra time working on his putting when his putting isn't the skill that's holding him back, all because of misinformation. And no, I don't believe he's 40% from 10', but that's not really the point. He's not going to get a good return on that investment.

“By three methods we may learn wisdom: First, by reflection, which is noblest; Second, by imitation, which is easiest; and third by experience, which is the bitterest.” - Confucius

My Swing Thread

saevel25

22 minutes ago, billchao said: I asked him what he thought the make % from 10' is on tour and he said 70%. He didn't believe me when I told him tour players average 50% from 8'.

I asked my uncle once, "At what distance do you think PGA Tour players make or miss 50% of their putts?". He said, 15 FT or so. I told him it was 8-9'.

Matt Dougherty, P.E.  fasdfa dfdsaf 

:pxg:

I told the same thing to 20´s hadicapers at my club when they get really ungry after they miss a 10 footer.

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pga tour stats putting 15 20 feet

CJ Cup Byron Nelson picks 2024: It's officially longshots SZN again

R emember earlier this year when it was nothing but longshot winners on the PGA Tour? Ever since early March, the pendulum has swung back to the top of the odds board, much of that due to the dominance of Scottie Scheffler.

Even last week, though, tournament favorites Rory McIlroy and Shane Lowry got it done at the Zurich Classic. Has golf become easy to predict? We kid, we kid. Longshots SZN should be back in full swing this week at TPC Craig Ranch, where the field is leaving quite a bit to be desired. That's good news for folks who like to bet a little to win a lot, though.

RELATED:  CJ Cup Byron Nelson 2024 picks: Our red-hot PGA pro reveals 10 rules for winning bets this week

Our betting panel is comprised of a caddie reporting anonymously from the grounds of Memorial Park, Pat Mayo of Underdog/Mayo Media Network, Brandon Gdula of numberFire/FanDuel, Andy Lack of RunPureSports.com, your two authors and Keith Stewart, the CEO of Read The Line. Stewart, our newest member of the panel, is our new betting content partner as well.

RELATED: CJ Cup Byron Nelson DFS picks 2024: I love these bombers and birdie-makers in Texas

Scroll down to see who we like this week at the 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson:

Anonymous Caddie Picker of the week : Alex Noren (22-1, FanDuel) — Noren's on the verge of a breakout PGA Tour win, and this week could be the week. He always hits it great with his irons, and he can get scorching hot with the putter. With this course benefiting iron play and putting over driving, he will be in contention this weekend.

Pat Mayo, Underdog/Fantasy National, Mayo Media Network analyst : Adam Schenk (40-1, BetMGM) — Schenk dropped an incredible 7.7 strokes to the field on and slightly off the green at Heritage—two aspects of his game where he’s been positive for well over two years. Both totals rank in the bottom five performances in his career in both strokes gained/around the green and SG/putting . He either lost it overnight or it’s an aberration. I’ll bet him thinking it’s an aberration as he gained off the tee for five consecutive events and three straight with his irons. Overall, he’s finished in the top 15 in two of his past three starts.

Brandon Gdula, FanDuel/numberFire managing editor : Alex Noren (22-1, FanDuel) — Only Noren and Spieth rank inside the top 50 in all four strokes-gained stats over the past 50 rounds, via datagolf, and Noren’s actually inside the top 15 in iron play in that span, too. He’s played here twice, finishing top-25 each year.

Keith Stewart, Read The Line: Thomas Detry (40-1, FanDuel) — The winner this week will need to make 25, perhaps 30, birdies, with soft conditions. Thomas Detry has a scorching hot putter at the moment. Detry is gaining an average of four strokes on the field over the past five starts with his flatstick. Fresh off an eighth-place finish at the Zurich Classic, Detry is used to seeing circles on the scorecard. I realize last week was a team event, but building scoring momentum comes from watching the ball go in! Fourth at Pebble, 17th at Valspar, and runner-up in Houston, the Belgium bomber is ready to drink from the CJ Cup.

Stephen Hennessey, Golf Digest dep. managing editor : Keith Mitchell (40-1, Bet365) — I’m pot-committed on Mitchell this year, but I’m happy to jump back on this week. Mitchell’s ball-striking might be best in this field—he’s fourth in SG/off the tee and third in SG/approach in 2024, per RickRunGood.com, plus he’s 10th in Birdie or Better percentage. The distance and iron play gives him a leg up … give us an above average putting week and we are live.

Christopher Powers, Golf Digest staff writer : Sungjae Im (28-1, DraftKings) — We’ve done this dance one too many times before with Sungjae Im, and yet I can’t stay away. After back-to-back missed cuts at Valspar and the Masters, Im bounced back with a very sneaky top 15 at Harbour Town and an even sneakier win on the Korean Tour last week at the Woori Championship, where he defended his title. You can go back to last year and see I probably picked him the following week after that Woori win too, and he definitely didn’t win. But screw it. The guy can make a million birdies and while that victory likely came against a weak field last week, it must be a nice little confidence-booster coming into the CJ Cup.

Andy Lack, Run Pure Sports and Inside Golf podcast : Byeong Hun An (28-1, BetMGM) — Byeong Hun An has quietly put together a strong season that includes six top-25 finishes in 11 starts, with great performances at the Sentry, Arnold Palmer and the Masters. All those courses are driver-heavy, which plays into An’s strengths as one of the longest players in this field. I would not be overly concerned with a poor showing at Harbour Town, as An now returns to a golf course where he can bomb away with reckless abandon.

Past results: The boys are officially HOT. Following Andy Lack’s correct prediction of Stephan Jager’s victory at the Houston Open (50-1), three of our experts—Stephen Hennessey, Pat Mayo and our anonymous caddie—hit on Akshay Bhatia (65-1) at the Valero Texas Open. That’s now our biggest hit of 2024, and it gives Mayo and our anonymous caddie their second wins of the year. Let’s keep it rolling in Texas.

Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop," (below) where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy lineups. And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts!  

Caddie: Justin Lower (90-1, BetMGM) — Like I said above, the good mid-range putters will succeed this week. I firmly believe Justin Lower is one of the best putters from 15-to-25 feet on tour, and he thrives in birdie fests, like Corales where he was on. He has been knocking at the door of his first win, and at nearly 100-1, this is worth a flier.

Mayo : Kevin Yu (90-1, BetMGM) — The only player in the field who rates top 10 in the field in driving and approach over the past 12 rounds. That includes sitting No. 1 in proximity from 200 yards and out, where a plurality of approach shots will come from at the Bunny Ranch. If he just putts like an average PGA Tour player, he’s live to be near the top of the leaderboard.

Gdula: Mark Hubbard (55-1, FanDuel) — Hubbard is someone I look to often when driving distance isn’t a prerequisite, and that’s the case this week. He’s a great iron player and—statistically speaking—is due for putting regression in his favor.

Stewart: Mark Hubbard (55-1, FanDuel) — Hubbard finished third at Zurich and has successfully navigated every cut in 2024 (eleven straight). Hubbard could always score, but now with a new level of consistency, he’s capable of winning. Need more? Hubbard has more FedEx Cup points than your tournament favorite Jordan Spieth this season. If the tour journeyman was ever trending toward a win, now is the time.

Hennessey, Golf Digest: Hayden Springer (200-1, BetMGM) — My guy John Haslbauer is on this one, and for good reason. Springer was one stroke out of a playoff in Puerto Rico, and this should be another great course for him. He’s 13th in Driving Distance in this field this year, per RickRunGood.com, and in the all-important birdie ranges this week, he’s second in putting from 10-15 feet and fourth from 20-25 feet. Let’s hit a bomb!

Powers, Golf Digest: Jake Knapp (100-1, BetMGM) — Bombers and birdie-makers, you say, Andy? Knapp checks both those boxes.

Lack: Maverick McNealy (55-1, BetMGM) — Maverick McNealy has rebounded strongly this year from an injury-plagued 2023, and I expect his ascent to continue. We know that the former Stanford Cardinal is one of the best putters on tour, but he also possesses sneaky power off the tee and his approach play has been improved of late as well. It’s a matter of if not when the inevitable breakthrough comes, and TPC Craig Ranch is the perfect venue for McNealy to collect his first PGA Tour victory.

RELATED: The hilarious reason Kevin Kisner isn’t broadcasting OR playing the U.S. Open at Pinehurst

Caddie: Jason Day (18-1, BetRivers) — Seeing K.H. Lee repeat here might lead some to think Jason Day is a good bet, but he hasn’t been in good form, so these odds are easy to pass on.

Mayo : Jordan Spieth (14-1, FanDuel) — Spieth might not be as far off as his numbers suggest, but he’s unbettable until he’s priced like the player currently on the course and not the player who was routinely at the top of the tour in irons and putting at his peak. There’s really nothing separating him and Mac Hughes right now, except 40 points in the betting market. In fact, Hughes may be better right now.

Gdula: Jordan Spieth (14-1, FanDuel) — Spieth is the betting favorite, has played well at this course and has the Texas narrative this week, but the odds are just too short for what his long-term play suggests. He also is dealing with a wrist injury.

Stewart: Jordan Spieth (14-1, FanDuel) — We all love Jordan Spieth. I travel and cover the tour 20-plus weeks of the year, and I always love to watch him play live. Even though the entertainment factor is always there, the results just have not. Spieth has only won twice in seven years! Jordan has missed three of his last five cuts and one of those was down Magnolia Lane where he always plays well. I’m not sure what changes are needed, but until they happen, and we see better long-term results, I won’t be betting the PGA Tour’s favorite son.

Hennessey, Golf Digest: Min Woo Lee (22-1, FanDuel) — It’s been a disappointing start to Min Woo’s first campaign on the PGA Tour. He had a good finish at Augusta, but this is a different type of test. The irons have not been good, and he ranks in the bottom of this field in putting from 15-25 feet, so I’m doubtful he’ll make enough birdies to contend.

Powers, Golf Digest: Jordan Spieth (14-1, FanDuel) — Even at a place he loves in Harbour Town, he couldn’t keep it together all four days. He should not be the favorite. CrazyTown.

Lack: Jason Day (18-1, BetRivers) — I know that Jason Day is the defending champion, but there are far too many current concerns with his iron play to warrant this price. Day ranks 125th in this field in approach play this season, and his long-iron numbers are even more concerning. Day is in far worse form than he was when he won this event last season, yet still receiving the same type of respect on the odds board based on past performance. This one is an easy pass.

RELATED: Sam Snead’s record of 82 wins is highly dubious, and Tiger should have the record

Caddie: Chan Kim (+115) over Maverick McNealy (DraftKings) — Honestly when it comes to matchups, I love any time you can get someone in decent form at plus money. Chan at +115 seems like great value considering this event can be a crap shoot.

Mayo : Keith Mitchell (+115) over Byeong Hun An (Bet365) — Mitchell and An are essentially the same guy. The biggest differences are that An can be elite around the greens while Mitchell may as well be me trying to get it up and down. However, scrambling has rarely come into play for Mitchell in 2024. His ball-striking consistency has been unrivaled by anyone in this field. An is a solid ball-striker; Mitchell is excellent. It’s how he’s finished top 20 in five of his last seven starts.

Gdula: Justin Lower (-115) over Kevin Yu (FanDuel) — While both golfers in this matchup are great iron players, Lower’s short game is markedly better than Yu’s. That—plus course knowledge for Lower— mitigates the distance edge for Yu.

Stewart: Seamus Power (-125) over Beau Hossler (BetMGM) — Beau Hossler has been off since The Players. Like Spieth, he has missed three cuts in his past five starts. The reason is simple: His approach game has been horrific. He’s losing over two strokes on average to the field with his iron game per start. Seamus Power is trending in the other direction, coming off a 12th at the RBC Heritage). Couple that with three straight top-20 results at TPC Craig Ranch, and this is one of those matchups that will cash come Friday afternoon.

Hennessey, Golf Digest: Byeong Hun An (-110) over Min Woo Lee (BetMGM) — I explained above why Min Woo is my fade ... his putting has been below average from 15-to-25 feet all year. Benny An is having a career year on the PGA Tour and making a ton of birdies, which is what you need this week. In my RickRunGood.com model, An is fifth and Min Woo is 60th.

Powers, Golf Digest: Sungjae Im (-110) over Tom Kim (DraftKings) — Tom Kim has just been .. blah this season. I’d rather go with my pick to win in Sung, who has the ability to pop off at any moment. Kim’s just been posting middling finish after middling finish, and if the theory is that bombers thrive at Craig Ranch, then the short-knocking Kim likely won’t be in contention.

Lack: Byeong Hun An (+100) over Jason Day (DraftKings) — This is an easy one, as I am getting my pick to win at plus money against my fade. The ball-striking gap between these two players right now is far greater than the market suggests, and Day’s 2023 victory is doing a lot of work in his placement on the board. Day isn’t that player right now, and An has made leaps and bounds in the 2024 season.

Matchup Results from the Zurich Classic: Caddie: 1 for 1 (Hossler/Ryder (+120) over Horschel/Alexander); Powers: 1 for 1 (Hossler/Ryder (+120) over Horschel/Alexander); Mayo: PUSH (Mitchell/Dahmen (-110) over Ghim/Kim); Lack: 0 for 1; Gdula: 0 for 1; Hennessey: 0 for 1; Stewart: 0 for 1

Matchup Results from this season (Wins-Losses-Pushes): Mayo: 12-4-1 (up 7.74 units); Caddie: 11-5-0 (up 4.68 units); Lack 10-6-1 (up 3.06 units); Powers: 8-7-2 (up 1.08 units); Gdula: 8-7-2 (up 0 units); Hennessey: 7-7-3 (down 0.92 units); Stewart: 8-9-0 (down 1.72 units)

Caddie: Sungjae Im (+320, FanDuel) — Fresh off a win over in Asia, Im seems like he’s finding his game. His world ranking has dropped a little recently, but the talent and work ethic are still there. He will continue to play well this week and scare that top 10, so +270 is great value for this in a “weaker field.”

Mayo : Ryan Fox (+700, Bet365) — While it doesn’t seem like he’s getting hot as of late, Fox (along with Garrick Higgo) surged to a T-4 at the Zurich last week, and the Kiwi was very much in the mix for 2.5 days at Augusta before some second-nine issues absolutely blew up his week. Fox is closer to peaking than you may notice; get on the wave early.

Gdula: Adam Schenk (+360, FanDuel) — Schenk’s irons are neutral long-term, but the rest of his game is strong (top 30 in the other three strokes gained areas over the past 50 rounds, via datagolf). He was T-19 at The Players, T-5 at Valero and T-12 at the Masters, which support his chances to top 10 in a field such as this one.

Stewart: Si Woo Kim (+220, Bet365) — Si Woo Kim should be a serious contender to win the Byron Nelson. Problem is that his putter probably doesn’t have enough heat to top the field. Over his last five starts, Kim is gaining over five strokes (on average) tee to green versus the field. In the same stretch he’s losing a stroke and half with his flatstick. The best tee-to-green player in this mediocre group will come very close, but in the end a top 10 looks like the ceiling.

Hennessey, Golf Digest: Mark Hubbard (+550, Bet365) — Hubbard at 70-1 was one of my first bets on Monday morning. He’s been red-hot, leading him and Ryan Brehm to a great finish in New Orleans. He’s 10th in this field in SG/approach in 2024 and sixth in Birdie or Better percentage, per RickRunGood.com, so I like his chances of another top finish ... and hopefully his first PGA Tour victory.

Powers, Golf Digest: K.H. Lee (+500, DraftKings) — This guy is a plug and play at TPC Craig Ranch, where he failed to three-peat last year. He played fine, though. You may believe that because he finished in 50th, but that was due to him losing seven (!) strokes with the putter. Don’t be the dope who misses out on one of the ultimate “horse for the course” guys this week.

Lack: Keith Mitchell (+360, DraftKings) — Keith Mitchell has always been an elite driver of the ball, but his development into one of the best iron players on the PGA Tour this season has been critical in his success this year. Mitchell has now gained strokes on approach in seven straight starts, with no signs of slowing down any time soon. On a course that emphasizes power off the tee and features such a high plurality of long irons, expect Mitchell to play a major factor in Dallas.

Top-10 results from the Zurich Classic: Everybody: 0 for 1

Top-10 results from this season: Hennessey: 4 for 17 (up 2.65 units); Caddie: 4 for 17 (up 0.35 units); Mayo: 3 for 17 (down 1 unit); Lack: 4 for 17 (down 2.45 units); Powers: 3 for 17 (down 6.4 units); Gdula: 2 for 17 (down 6.5 units); Stewart: 3 for 17 (down 7.42 units)

About our experts  

Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long and short-form content, and the host of The Pat Mayo Experience daily talk show. Mayo helped create the golf stats and research website Fantasy National along with the Race for the Mayo Cup One and Done contest. Mayo won the 2022 Fantasy Sports Writing Association Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year and is a finalist for three FSWA Awards in 2023 (Best Podcast, Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year, Golf Writer of the Year). His 27 FSWA nominations lead all writers this decade and are second-most all-time. Follow him on Twitter: @ThePME . 

Brandon Gdula , managing editor and analyst for numberFire, a FanDuel daily-fantasy analysis company, recently won the 2018 FSWA Golf Writer of the Year. Gdula also co-hosts the DFS Heat Check podcast. Follow him on Twitter: @gdula13 . 

Keith Stewart is a five-time award-winning PGA professional, a betting contributor for Golf Digest and founder of Read The Line, the premier on-site live golf betting insights service covering the LPGA and PGA TOUR. Subscribe to Read The Line’s weekly newsletter here and raise your golf betting acumen. Keith's winning content can also be found on Sports Grid, Bleacher Report and The Sporting News. Follow him on Twitter @readtheline_ .

Andy Lack is a PGA Tour writer and podcaster from New York City who now resides in Los Angeles. He hosts Inside Golf, a twice weekly podcast focused on the PGA Tour, betting, daily fantasy, golf course architecture, and interviews, as part of the BlueWire podcast network. As well as contributing to Golf Digest, Andy is also the head of golf content for Run Pure Sports, where he covers PGA Tour betting and daily fantasy. He came to Golf Digest’s betting panel after previously writing for RickRunGood.com, the Score and GolfWRX. In his free time, Andy can likely be found on a golf course. Follow him on Twitter: @adplacksports  

AVONDALE, LOUISIANA - APRIL 26: Mark Hubbard of the United States reacts after missed putt on the eighth green during the second round of the Zurich Classic of New Orleans at TPC Louisiana on April 26, 2024 in Avondale, Louisiana. (Photo by Chris Graythen/Getty Images)

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CJ Cup Byron Nelson 2024: Odds, predictions, value picks for next PGA Tour event

The PGA Tour returns to Texas, where TPC Craig Ranch will play host to this week’s CJ Cup Byron Nelson.

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Jason Day, AT&T Byron Nelson

The PGA Tour returns to the Lone Star State for the third time this season, as the CJ Cup Byron Nelson takes center stage two weeks before the PGA Championship at Valhalla.

This week’s field does not feature a ton of firepower, with Jordan Spieth being the only player ranked within the top 20 of the world. Defending champion Jason Day , Tom Kim, and Will Zalatoris will also tee it up this week, as will Presidents Cup hopefuls Adam Scott, Si Woo Kim, and Sungjae Im.

TPC Craig Ranch, located north of Dallas in McKinney, will host this tournament for the fourth time. K.H. Lee won it in 2021 and 2022, at 25-under and 26-under, respectively, the first two instances in which this layout held it.

Day won at 23-under last year.

CJ Cup Byron Nelson Odds:

Here are the current odds for players to win, per DraftKings:

  • Jordan Spieth +1400
  • Jason Day +1800
  • Will Zalatoris +2200
  • Si Woo Kim +2200
  • Sungjae Im +2500
  • Alex Noren +2500
  • Adam Scott +2500
  • Tom Hoge +2800
  • Min Woo Lee +2800
  • Stephan Jaeger +3000
  • Byeong Hun An +3000
  • Tom Kim +3000
  • Keith Mitchell +3500
  • Thomas Detry +4000

pga tour stats putting 15 20 feet

CJ Cup Byron Nelson Predictions

TPC Craig Ranch presents one of the easier challenges seen on the PGA Tour, so it's no surprise to see so many birdies on this course year in and year out.

As such, we are looking at players who make birdies in bunches to perform well on this generous layout this week.

Jordan Spieth finishes in the top 5 in his hometown

Jordan Spieth, who has had an up-and-down season thus far, currently ranks 11th on the PGA Tour in total strokes gained and third in birdie or better conversion percentage at 37.54%. This stat takes Spieth’s total number of birdies made this season (134) and divides that by the total number of greens hit (357).

He may play erratic at times, but Spieth has once again relied on his putter to keep himself in the mix on multiple occasions. He obviously has made plenty of birdies, too.

We see him contending again at TPC Craig Ranch, where he finished solo second two years ago and tied for ninth in 2021. We like the Dallas native to finish in the top 5 at +360.

Jordan Spieth, RBC Heritage

Mark Hubbard continues strong play

Thirty-four-year-old Mark Hubbard has not missed a cut in the 12 events he has played this year. He tied for fourth at the rain-shortened AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am , his best individual finish. But Hubbard also finished solo third at last week’s Zurich Classic of New Orleans , alongside Ryan Brehm in the two-man team-play event.

He has played well, partly thanks to his ability to make plenty of birdies. The San Jose State product has made 187 of them this season, which ranks 5th on the PGA Tour. Given that TPC Craig Ranch yields plenty of par-breakers, Hubbard will rely on his solid tee-to-green play to make a ton of birdies this week.

DraftKings has Hubbard listed at +650 to finish within the top 10, but if you feel bullish like we do, +1400 for a top-5 finish is a solid price.

Mark Hubbard, Zurich Classic of New Orleans

Tom Hoge bounces back after missed cut

Widely regarded as one of the best ball-strikers on the PGA Tour, Tom Hoge will contend again this week in the Dallas area.

He missed the cut at last week’s Zurich Classic, but before that, he picked apart Harbour Town Golf Links over the first 36 holes and was in the mix for most of the weekend. A disappointing 2-over 74 final round dropped him a few spots on the leaderboard into a tie for 18th, a result much worse than what his performance indicated.

Hoge has played well in other big events this year, namely in California, where he tied for sixth at Pebble Beach and finished solo eighth at Riviera. He has had a solid year, even though he did not receive an invitation to Augusta National .

Still, Hoge ranks behind only Scottie Scheffler on the PGA Tour in strokes gained: approaching the green. He also ranks second in total birdies made this season with 209. His 4.58 birdies per round ranks ninth on the PGA Tour.

Hoge is a sneaky-good putter as well. During his 39 rounds this season, Hoge has averaged 81.5 feet of putts made per round, good for fifth on the PGA Tour. He has all the pieces to play at the highest level, and considering this week’s weaker field, we like Hoge to finish in the top-5 at +650.

Tom Hoge, Zurich Classic of New Orleans

CJ Cup Byron Nelson Longshot Pick

Since missing the cut at the Arnold Palmer Invitational in mid-March, Adam Schenk has recorded three top-20 finishes, including a tie for fifth at the Valero Texas Open and a tie for 12th at The Masters.

At +5500 to win, we like the idea of Schenk finally breaking through and securing his first PGA Tour victory at that price.

Although he struggles somewhat with his ball striking, Schenk still finds plenty of ways to make birdies, ranking seventh on tour in total birdies made this season. He also makes plenty of putts from inside of 10 feet, an essential part of the winning formula regardless of the course.

Schenk has been trending in the right direction, and considering he did not play at the Zurich Classic of New Orleans, he will arrive in Texas well-rested and refreshed.

Adam Schenk, RBC Heritage

CJ Cup Byron Nelson Winner

With the CJ Group taking over the sponsorship naming rights for this year’s tournament, we believe a player represented by this South Korean conglomerate will emerge victorious.

As such, we are picking Si Woo Kim to win his fifth career PGA Tour event this week, his first since the 2023 Sony Open in Hawaii.

Kim has had a solid year, making all 11 cuts while recording five top 20 finishes. His best result came at The Players Championship , where he tied for sixth, while his worst finish came at The Genesis Invitational, where he tied for 44th.

He has a beautiful swing, and the stats reflect that. Kim currently ranks fourth in strokes gained: tee-to-green this season, but his putter has held him back. He is currently 141st on the PGA Tour in strokes gained putting.

Si Woo Kim, RBC Heritage

Still, the Seoul, South Korea native makes plenty of birdies, a necessity on this course. He has made 178 of them this season—good for 11th on the PGA Tour—and has also recorded nine eagles, which ranks fourth. Kim can go low, which explains why he ranks within the top 12 on tour in both adjusted and actual scoring averages.

Kim resides in the Dallas area, so that should surely help him, too.

We love his price at +2200 to win this week. Only Jordan Spieth and Jason Day have shorter odds than Kim, which is a testament to Kim’s talent and the weak field.

For all other sports betting content, check out SB Nation’s DraftKings site .

Jack Milko is a golf staff writer for SB Nation’s Playing Through. Be sure to check out @_PlayingThrough for more golf coverage. You can follow him on Twitter @jack_milko as well.

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Ben Polland wins PGA club pro title, winning by 3 shots

  • Associated Press

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FRISCO, Texas -- Wyoming club pro Ben Polland atoned from a crushing loss in 2015 with steady golf in a tough Texas wind, closing with a 4-over 76 for a three-shot victory Wednesday in the PGA Professional Championship.

Polland and 19 other club professionals advance to the PGA Championship on May 16-19 at Valhalla Golf Club in Louisville, Kentucky.

Among them will be Tracy Phillips, the longtime Oklahoma professional who will make his PGA Championship debut in two weeks at age 61.

Wyatt Worthington II of Ohio will be playing the PGA Championship for the third straight year by making it harder than it needed to be. He went from the 36-hole lead to rounds of 78-80 and claimed the 20th spot by making a 4-foot bogey putt on the par-5 18th at Fields Ranch.

Polland, the director of golf at Shooting Star of Jackson Hole, thought he had the PGA Professional Championship won in his debut in 2015. He took a two-shot lead to the final hole and made a double bogey, while Matt Dobyns made birdie for a three-shot swing to win.

"With what happened my first time, I always knew if I kept trying hard, working hard, I'd have a chance," Polland said. "I can't believe it's done."

He had an early wobble with a double bogey on the par-4 fifth hole. But then, everyone was struggling in a strong field on the West course.

Jeremy Wells of Crystal Lake Golf Club in Estero, Florida, was the only player to break par. His 70 moved him from a tie for 45th to a tie for eighth, earning a spot at the PGA Championship for the second straight year.

As usual, most of the drama was at the bottom in the battle for the final spots.

Braden Shattuck, the defending champion from outside Philadelphia, had not made a birdie the entire round and bogeys on the 16th and 17th hole put him into a large tie for 20th. He reached the green in two on the downwind closing hole, and his two-putt birdie gave him a 78. The birdie also knocked out five players from a playoff that would have decided the 20th spot.

Worthington extended the drama. He needed only a bogey on the 18th hole to secure a spot at Valhalla and hit iron off the tee to play it safe. But in a peculiar decision, he went for the green and came up short into a hazard. He took a penalty drop, hit wedge for his fourth shot some 30 feet long and rolled the par putt 4 feet by.

Worthington made the bogey putt for an 80, pulled his cap over his eyes and breathed a heavy sigh after a rough final 36 holes.

It was the second straight year the PGA Professional Championship did not require a playoff to determine the field of 20 club pros who earn spots at Valhalla.

Phillips is director of instruction at Cedar Ridge in Tulsa, Oklahoma, which has hosted LPGA Tour and LIV Golf events. Golf Digest rated him the No. 1 junior in 1979, and he went on to play at Oklahoma State. But after trying to play overseas, he switched to teaching and went 20 years without playing until his desire returned.

He played with Ernie Els in the Senior PGA Championship two years ago and called that a dream come true.

"Now I get to play with the younger guys and hit even more woods into greens than I did this week," Phillips said. "Just to be able to do this is unbelievable."

The PGA Championship will have 21 club pros. Michael Block of California tied for 39th at Fields Ranch. He already was exempt for the PGA Championship from finishing in the top 15 last year at Oak Hill.

Mark Hubbard Betting Profile: THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson

Betting Profile

Mark Hubbard Betting Profile: THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson

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Mark Hubbard shot -16 and finished 32nd the last time he played in this tournament. He'll tee off at TPC Craig Ranch May 2-5 with his sights set higher this time around in the 2024 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson.

THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson Tournament & Course Info

  • Date: May 2-5, 2024
  • Location: McKinney, TX
  • Course: TPC Craig Ranch
  • Par: 71 / 7,414 yards
  • Purse: $9.5M
  • Previous Winner: Jason Day

At THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson

  • Over his last three trips to THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson, Hubbard has an average score of -15, with an average finish of 33rd.
  • Hubbard last participated in THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson in 2022, finishing 32nd with a score of -16.
  • Jason Day won this tournament in 2023 with numbers of 3.251 in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee (16th in field), 6.297 in SG: Approach the Green (third), and 2.692 in SG: Putting (28th).
  • Day averaged 306.8 yards off the tee (23rd in field), had a greens in regulation percentage of % (), and attempted 27.25 putts per round (13th) in that victory a year ago.

Hubbard's Recent History at THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson

Hubbard's recent performances.

  • In his last five tournaments, Hubbard has an average finish of 37th.
  • Hubbard has finished with a score lower than the tournament average in three of his last five appearances.
  • He has finished with an average score of -5 those five times he's made the cut.
  • Mark Hubbard has averaged 290.3 yards off the tee in his past five tournaments.
  • Hubbard is averaging -0.281 in terms of Strokes Gained: Putting in his past five tournaments.
  • Hubbard is averaging 2.489 Strokes Gained: Total in his past five tournaments.

Hubbard's Advanced Stats and Rankings

  • Hubbard has put up a Strokes Gained: Off the Tee average of -0.121 this season (117th on TOUR). His average driving distance (291.3 yards) ranks 144th, while his 65.6% driving accuracy average ranks 60th.
  • In terms of Strokes Gained: Approach, Hubbard ranks 24th on TOUR with a mark of 0.491.
  • On the greens, Hubbard's 0.158 Strokes Gained: Putting mark places him 70th on TOUR this season, and his putts-per-round average ranks first. He has broken par % of the time (first).

Hubbard's Best Finishes

  • Hubbard has taken part in 11 tournaments this season, and while he hasn't won any of them, he has collected one finish in the top-five.
  • In those 11 events, he made the cut 11 times (100%).
  • Currently, Hubbard has 594 points, ranking him 43rd in the FedExCup standings.

Hubbard's Best Strokes Gained Performances

  • This season, Hubbard's best Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee mark came at the Valero Texas Open in April 2024, as he ranked 12th in the field with a mark of 3.133.
  • Hubbard's best Strokes Gained: Approach performance this season came at the Farmers Insurance Open, where he ranked No. 1 in the field with a mark of 8.379 (he finished 20th in that tournament).
  • In terms of Strokes Gained: Around-the-Green, Hubbard's best mark this season was at the Mexico Open at Vidanta in February 2024, as he ranked 11th in the field with a mark of 2.501.
  • At the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am in February 2024, Hubbard recorded his best Strokes Gained: Putting mark so far this season (4.794, which ranked second in the field). In that event, he finished fourth.
  • Hubbard posted his best Strokes Gained: Total mark this season (6.075) in February 2024 at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. That ranked fifth in the field.

Hubbard's Strokes Gained Rankings

Hubbard's past results.

All stats in this article are accurate for Hubbard as of the start of THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson.

Note: The PGA TOUR has created this story via a machine-learning model using data from ShotLink , powered by CDW, in addition to player performance data. While we strive for accuracy and quality, please note that the information provided may not be entirely error-free.

COMMENTS

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  12. Golf Science

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  17. What Percentage Of 10ft Putts Do PGA Tour Pros Make?

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  18. Putting: Let's Get Real! · Practical-Golf.com

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  21. PGA Tour Putts Gained/Make Percentage Stats

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