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Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares (NCLH)

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Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH)

(real time quote from bats).

-0.52 (-2.68%)

Updated Apr 10, 2024 11:36 AM ET

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Industry: Leisure and Recreation Services

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Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd NCLH

Company report, norwegian continues to benefit from consumers' appetite for travel.

Coronavirus-induced changes in consumer behavior with regard to travel had altered the economic performance of Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings, affecting its ability to generate excess economic rents. However, as consumers returned to cruising after the 15-month sailing halt that ended in July 2021, they regained their appetite for travel, bolstered by the value proposition the holiday provides. With ships fully deployed at historical occupancy levels, pricing surpassed prepandemic levels in 2023, and pricing momentum has persisted into 2024. While Norwegian could intermittently see pricing competition in periods of macroeconomic distress, we believe its freestyle offering and attractive itineraries will keep passengers engaged with the brand. On the cost side, while higher oil prices and unfavorable foreign exchange could elevate costs at times, we expect management will focus on extracting further efficiencies as the business continues to scale. Over time, we expect both pricing and costs to normalize at low-single-digit rates.

Price vs Fair Value

Bulls say, bears say.

As Norwegian is smaller than its North American cruise peers, it has the ability to deploy its assets nimbly as cruising demand rises, allowing for strategic pricing tactics.

Weakness in consumer spending spurred by an economic downturn could affect discretionary spending, leading pricing to soften and lower onboard spending.

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Unveils Bold New Vision for the Future with Strategic Long Term Fleet Expansion and Enhanced Private Island Development

Oceania cruises announces giada de laurentiis as brand and culinary ambassador, oceania cruises offers free pre-cruise hotel stay on a range of sailings in 2024 and 2025, oceania cruises appoints chef alexis quaretti and chef eric barale as executive culinary directors, here's why goldman sachs just gave carnival and royal caribbean stocks buy ratings, s&p upgrades ncl corporation ltd.’s credit ratings, oceania cruises announces 2026 around the world voyage aboard its newest ship, vista, norwegian cruise's stock jumps after company says it expects profit this quarter, trading information, key statistics, company profile, competitors.

Carnival Corp CCL
Royal Caribbean Group RCL

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News for Norwegian Cruise Line

Charting New Waters: Norwegian Cruise Line Unveils Ambitious Plans For Eight Ships

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd (NYSE:NCLH) has unveiled a total of eight vessels, representing nearly 25,000 additional berths to be built across three brands.

The company also launched the construction of a multi-ship pier at Great Stirrup Cay, the company’s private island destination in the Bahamas and its Caribbean port of call.

The strategy is expected to boost Norwegian Cruise’s product offering, guest experiences, and operational infrastructure.

The new ship orders across all three brands are scheduled for delivery over a ten-year period, between 2026 and 2036.

After the delivery of four Prima-Plus class ships from 2025 through 2028, the cruise operator is expected to take delivery of four approximately 200,000-gross-ton ships, each with a capacity of nearly 5,000 guests, in 2030, 2032, 2034, and 2036.

Oceania Cruises is scheduled to take delivery of two 86,000-gross-ton ships, each with a capacity of 1,450 guests in 2027 and 2029.

Finally, Regent Seven Seas Cruises is scheduled to take delivery of two 77,000-gross-ton ships, each with a capacity of 850 guests, in 2026 and 2029.

“This strategic new-ship order across all three of our award-winning brands provides for the steady introduction of cutting-edge vessels into our fleet and solidifies our long-term growth,” said President and CEO Harry Sommer.

The company has obtained export credit financing with favorable terms to fund 80% of the contract price of each of the two Oceania Cruises and Regent Seven Seas Cruises ships.

The new pier development in the Bahamas is set to begin in summer 2024 and be completed by late 2025 with an investment of about $150 million.

Stifel analyst Steven Wieczynski reiterated a Buy rating on the shares with a price target of $25.

NCLH now has 13 ships on order over the next 12 years for a combined 41,000 berths, representing about 65% capacity growth, noted the analyst.

With a historically smaller fleet, the company has been building new ships more aggressively versus peers in order to enter/serve certain markets.

Over the next decade this will not only give NCLH the biggest growth story within the cruise industry but will also allow them to continue entering new markets with minimal cannibalization to their fleet, the analyst noted.

Owning cruise stocks when supply growth has been low for an extended period of time, as per the analyst. While the headline of eight ships might make investors panic, the analyst urged them to look at the fine print.

Overall, according to the analyst, the positives surely outweigh the negatives.

Price Action : NCLH shares are trading lower by 2.35% at $18.93 on the last check Tuesday.

Photo via Wikimedia Commons

Norwegian Cruise Line News MORE

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Here is What to Know Beyond Why Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) is a Trending Stock

Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) is one of the stocks most watched by Zacks.com visitors lately. So, it might be a good idea to review some of the factors that might affect the near-term performance of the stock.

Over the past month, shares of this cruise operator have returned -3.7%, compared to the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +1.6% change. During this period, the Zacks Leisure and Recreation Services industry, which Norwegian Cruise Line falls in, has gained 6%. The key question now is: What could be the stock's future direction?

Although media reports or rumors about a significant change in a company's business prospects usually cause its stock to trend and lead to an immediate price change, there are always certain fundamental factors that ultimately drive the buy-and-hold decision.

Earnings Estimate Revisions

Rather than focusing on anything else, we at Zacks prioritize evaluating the change in a company's earnings projection. This is because we believe the fair value for its stock is determined by the present value of its future stream of earnings.

Our analysis is essentially based on how sell-side analysts covering the stock are revising their earnings estimates to take the latest business trends into account. When earnings estimates for a company go up, the fair value for its stock goes up as well. And when a stock's fair value is higher than its current market price, investors tend to buy the stock, resulting in its price moving upward. Because of this, empirical studies indicate a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock price movements.

Norwegian Cruise Line is expected to post earnings of $0.11 per share for the current quarter, representing a year-over-year change of +136.7%. Over the last 30 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate has changed -4.5%.

The consensus earnings estimate of $1.25 for the current fiscal year indicates a year-over-year change of +78.6%. This estimate has changed +9% over the last 30 days.

For the next fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate of $1.67 indicates a change of +33.1% from what Norwegian Cruise Line is expected to report a year ago. Over the past month, the estimate has changed -0.6%.

Having a strong externally audited track record, our proprietary stock rating tool, the Zacks Rank, offers a more conclusive picture of a stock's price direction in the near term, since it effectively harnesses the power of earnings estimate revisions. Due to the size of the recent change in the consensus estimate, along with three other factors related to earnings estimates, Norwegian Cruise Line is rated Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).

The chart below shows the evolution of the company's forward 12-month consensus EPS estimate:

12 Month EPS

Projected Revenue Growth

While earnings growth is arguably the most superior indicator of a company's financial health, nothing happens as such if a business isn't able to grow its revenues. After all, it's nearly impossible for a company to increase its earnings for an extended period without increasing its revenues. So, it's important to know a company's potential revenue growth.

In the case of Norwegian Cruise Line, the consensus sales estimate of $2.22 billion for the current quarter points to a year-over-year change of +22.1%. The $9.37 billion and $9.96 billion estimates for the current and next fiscal years indicate changes of +9.6% and +6.3%, respectively.

Last Reported Results and Surprise History

Norwegian Cruise Line reported revenues of $1.99 billion in the last reported quarter, representing a year-over-year change of +30.8%. EPS of -$0.18 for the same period compares with -$1.04 a year ago.

Compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.99 billion, the reported revenues represent a surprise of -0.29%. The EPS surprise was -38.46%.

Over the last four quarters, Norwegian Cruise Line surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times. The company topped consensus revenue estimates two times over this period.

Without considering a stock's valuation, no investment decision can be efficient. In predicting a stock's future price performance, it's crucial to determine whether its current price correctly reflects the intrinsic value of the underlying business and the company's growth prospects.

While comparing the current values of a company's valuation multiples, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S) and price-to-cash flow (P/CF), with its own historical values helps determine whether its stock is fairly valued, overvalued, or undervalued, comparing the company relative to its peers on these parameters gives a good sense of the reasonability of the stock's price.

As part of the Zacks Style Scores system, the Zacks Value Style Score (which evaluates both traditional and unconventional valuation metrics) organizes stocks into five groups ranging from A to F (A is better than B; B is better than C; and so on), making it helpful in identifying whether a stock is overvalued, rightly valued, or temporarily undervalued.

Norwegian Cruise Line is graded A on this front, indicating that it is trading at a discount to its peers. Click here to see the values of some of the valuation metrics that have driven this grade.

Bottom Line

The facts discussed here and much other information on Zacks.com might help determine whether or not it's worthwhile paying attention to the market buzz about Norwegian Cruise Line. However, its Zacks Rank #3 does suggest that it may perform in line with the broader market in the near term.

To read this article on Zacks.com click here.

Norwegian Cruise orders eight new ships, biggest order in its history

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U.S. Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings cruise ship Marina arrives at the Havana bay

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Reporting by Doyinsola Oladipo in New York and additional reporting by Granth Vanaik in Bengaluru; Editing by David Gregorio and Deepa Babington

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Charting New Waters: Norwegian Cruise Line Unveils Ambitious Plans For Eight Ships

Zinger key points.

Norwegian Cruise places order for eight new ships to be built across three brands.
The ships are scheduled for delivery over a ten-year period, between 2026 and 2036.

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd NCLH has unveiled a total of eight vessels, representing nearly 25,000 additional berths to be built across three brands .